NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	5.8 [630]		MVP	Tony Allen (BOS): +16.8%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	1.5 [975]		LVP	Al Thornton (LAC): -10.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	-0.01	0.04	18	73%	0.20	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.05
Cuttino Mobley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	15	43%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Quinton Ross	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	7	53%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dan Dickau	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.05	5	-0.11	8	75%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al Thornton	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.02	13	57%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	13	73%	0.20	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	59%	0.10	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	4	50%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	63%	0.16	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	83%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	5	30%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.7	38.4	15.5	27.4	2.5	37.3	152.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +59.9%

LAC -15.1%

BOS +10.4%

LAC -8.9%

BOS +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	13.9	15.7	15.4	101.0	115.6	105.7
season	15.6	15.6		99.5	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.1		98.3	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.7	13.1	14.8	13.0	13.9
BOS	17.2	15.8	13.4	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	31	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-11	11	13.9	13.9	0.01	16.5	15.3	1.20
Corey Maggette	81	79	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-13	15	13.2	17.1	-3.93	15.6	15.9	-0.26
Brevin Knight	44	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-8	5	14.3	13.5	0.80	14.6	16.4	-1.87
Aaron Williams	6	6	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	13.8	13.9	-0.07	16.0	15.6	0.36
Quinton Ross	68	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-6	1	14.7	12.1	2.62	15.3	16.5	-1.25
Josh Powell	54	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-7	3	13.0	15.0	-2.06	16.1	15.2	0.92
Chris Kaman	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-5	-1	14.0	13.7	0.22	16.0	14.9	1.14
Cuttino Mobley	81	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-7	3	13.7	14.9	-1.28	15.7	15.6	0.08
Dan Dickau	24	24	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	13.1	14.2	-1.08	16.4	15.4	1.00
Al Thornton	39	39	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.04	-20	9	-29	15.6	12.8	2.83	15.2	16.0	-0.78

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	34	34	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	0	11	17.3	14.8	2.52	14.5	13.6	0.92
Eddie House	36	37	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	5	1	17.5	14.6	2.89	14.3	13.6	0.68
James Posey	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	3	5	15.7	15.7	-0.02	14.3	12.2	2.12
Leon Powe	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	5	1	16.3	14.9	1.44	14.0	13.7	0.29
Paul Pierce	51	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	0	11	14.2	17.3	-3.10	13.5	14.4	-0.92
Tony Allen	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	5	1	16.9	14.4	2.43	13.5	14.3	-0.73
Kendrick Perkins	44	47	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	6	-1	14.9	16.3	-1.44	13.8	14.0	-0.21
Rajon Rondo	60	62	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	6	-1	14.6	17.5	-2.89	13.6	14.3	-0.68
Brian Scalabrine	14	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	10	-9	15.1	15.8	-0.70	13.4	14.0	-0.55
Ray Allen	60	63	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	15	-19	15.1	16.5	-1.38	13.8	14.1	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 80, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NYK 92, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	93.6%
DET 90, HOU 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%