NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	6.3 [514]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +22.6%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	1.4 [936]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -31.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.12	0.03	15	71%	0.27	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.07	0.05	18	67%	0.20	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.02	10	73%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.03	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	13	77%	0.02
DJ Mbenga	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.24	-0.10	-0.03	13	23%	-0.12	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	11	79%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	3	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Sean Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	12	46%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	26	45%	0.06	4	-0.14	8	75%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	31.0	16.8	27.2	2.5	33.6	140.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +21.4%

LAL +15.1%

LAL +1.3%

LAL +11.2%

LAL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NJN	NBA	LAL	NJN	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	15.4	109.4	94.7	105.7
season	14.6	15.4		110.6	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		107.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	12.8	14.3	14.6	14.4
NJN	12.8	16.7	16.2	17.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	83	80	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.08	20	-5	25	14.0	17.1	-3.09	16.0	14.3	1.77
Pau Gasol	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.03	20	-5	25	14.0	15.4	-1.39	16.9	12.8	4.01
Lamar Odom	83	82	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	3	9	13.9	17.8	-3.89	15.5	17.7	-2.24
Vladimir Radmanovic	69	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	4	7	13.4	17.0	-3.66	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Derek Fisher	68	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	6	3	14.0	15.3	-1.24	15.3	16.9	-1.56
Luke Walton	28	27	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	13	-11	16.4	13.6	2.86	16.3	15.6	0.70
Jordan Farmar	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	13	-11	15.3	14.0	1.25	16.2	15.5	0.69
Sasha Vujacic	26	27	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	13	-11	17.3	13.3	3.93	16.1	15.6	0.44
DJ Mbenga	7	7	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	12	-9	13.1	14.5	-1.36	16.7	15.7	1.03
Ronny Turiaf	16	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	21	-27	17.7	13.7	3.94	11.5	16.7	-5.15

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-14	13	17.8	15.6	2.22	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Malik Allen	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-12	9	16.2	15.6	0.55	14.9	14.2	0.64
Marcus Williams	21	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-9	3	17.9	15.1	2.76	13.4	14.7	-1.21
Antoine Wright	31	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-6	-3	16.0	15.7	0.31	14.7	14.3	0.44
Sean Williams	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-10	5	14.7	17.0	-2.35	15.6	13.0	2.61
Bostjan Nachbar	55	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-9	3	16.5	14.7	1.78	14.7	14.0	0.74
Josh Boone	69	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-3	-9	15.4	16.6	-1.13	13.9	15.9	-2.05
Jason Kidd	74	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-6	-3	15.1	17.9	-2.76	14.7	13.4	1.21
Vince Carter	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-3	-9	15.7	16.1	-0.50	14.1	15.6	-1.51
Richard Jefferson	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-3	-9	16.0	15.2	0.72	13.8	15.9	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.18,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	93.6%
IND 103, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%
ORL 92, CHA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.02,0	93.4%