inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 84 Excitement8.5 [163] MVPMichael Finley (SAS): +15.2%
Phoenix Suns 81 Comeback9.0 [78] LVPSteve Nash (PHX): -28.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0.150,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.150.020.140.011159%0.192-0.0400%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,0.08-0.100.16-0.021447%0.246-0.1612100%0.17
Bruce Bowen0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.020.01750%0.0300.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.011547%0.011-0.02683%0.01
Fabricio Oberto-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.02-0.090.06-0.011647%0.155-0.172100%0.01
Ime Udoka-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00945%-0.003-0.09425%-0.06

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.010.07-0.03450%0.121-0.04475%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.12-0.030.021468%0.101-0.023100%0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.04,0.030.03-0.040.06-0.001052%0.184-0.151155%-0.30
Brian Skinner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.02-0.011024%-0.021-0.041100%0.01
Grant Hill0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00945%-0.022-0.054100%0.03
Boris Diaw0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.00637%-0.032-0.05450%-0.02
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,-0.29-0.29-0.08-0.21-0.011842%0.103-0.38475%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.62.830.320.330.53.538.5152.4
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +7.1%
SAS +9.4%
SAS +6.9%
SAS +29.8%
PHX -3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPHXNBASASPHXNBA
this game15.514.215.486.683.5105.7
season16.513.8104.7111.1
opponent15.615.3106.5100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.016.416.113.515.5
PHX12.313.614.516.514.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Finley73740.69-0.190.870.3611-81915.116.7-1.5314.313.70.69
Ime Udoka60580.67-0.170.840.3810-71715.315.9-0.6514.813.21.67
Tim Duncan86860.55-0.050.600.405-2715.912.83.0414.511.52.97
Manu Ginobili84860.53-0.030.570.366-3915.515.6-0.1214.015.5-1.44
Bruce Bowen68660.480.020.450.50-14-515.515.5-0.0014.613.21.40
Francisco Elson66-0.020.52-0.530.01-14-514.515.6-1.089.514.5-4.98
Matt Bonner55-0.040.54-0.590.02-25-717.215.41.7817.214.03.19
Jacque Vaughn6263-0.170.67-0.84-0.08-36-915.914.90.9414.114.4-0.32
Fabricio Oberto4141-0.190.69-0.880.10-1013-2315.315.7-0.3912.315.5-3.18

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Grant Hill52500.07-0.570.640.13-2-1-113.914.5-0.5914.616.5-1.93
Brian Skinner1211-0.10-0.400.300.02-41-512.914.4-1.4415.515.5-0.07
Leandro Barbosa4544-0.12-0.380.26-0.06-2-1-114.513.90.5416.514.71.84
Boris Diaw7676-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.414-71114.114.6-0.5715.416.0-0.62
Amar'e Stoudemire6669-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.502-5714.812.91.9215.415.8-0.38
Raja Bell6262-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-2114.014.5-0.5814.816.8-2.01
Shawn Marion7576-0.560.06-0.63-0.42-52-714.214.00.1716.013.82.18
Steve Nash7373-0.580.08-0.66-0.41-63-914.313.80.5115.615.20.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.68,0.74,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 102, IND 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.79,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.83,092.0%
WAS 95, NOH 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.84,091.3%
NJN 89, MIL 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.79,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.68,0.42,090.6%