NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	3.3 [1113]		MVP	Kevin Durant (SEA): +9.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.0 [562]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -7.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	12	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	11	100%	0.06
Ira Newble	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Dwayne Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	0.04	11	59%	0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.12	21	61%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.02	16	65%	0.17	5	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.04	8	106%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.04	10	80%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.03	13	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	9	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	3.5	26.4	15.7	25.0	2.7	37.5	138.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +48.4%

CLE -8.6%

SEA +7.9%

SEA +0.7%

SEA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SEA	NBA	CLE	SEA	NBA
this game	17.9	14.4	15.4	106.7	113.5	105.7
season	16.4	14.5		104.0	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		107.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.4	20.4	19.9	16.8	17.9
SEA	12.8	13.3	15.4	16.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-8	10	17.4	18.0	-0.68	15.9	14.1	1.78
Donyell Marshall	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-4	2	16.5	18.3	-1.80	15.6	14.2	1.44
Dwayne Jones	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.41	10	-16	26	17.1	18.9	-1.80	15.4	13.3	2.09
Eric Snow	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	16.5	18.7	-2.19	13.7	14.8	-1.06
Damon Jones	51	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.38	6	-12	18	17.0	19.1	-2.09	14.7	14.1	0.64
Devin Brown	16	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	6	-18	20.4	17.4	3.05	12.8	14.8	-2.05
Daniel Gibson	59	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.43	6	-12	18	19.1	15.6	3.52	15.1	13.1	2.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-7	8	18.7	16.0	2.69	14.9	13.2	1.61
Ira Newble	39	38	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	9	-24	16.3	19.2	-2.98	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Drew Gooden	35	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.19	-19	13	-32	20.1	16.5	3.60	12.2	15.9	-3.66
Larry Hughes	70	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	17.9	18.2	-0.35	14.2	15.2	-0.93

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	66	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	-1	8	13.8	16.1	-2.30	18.4	16.7	1.74
Kevin Durant	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-4	14	14.4	14.4	0.06	16.7	20.2	-3.42
Earl Watson	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-4	14	14.5	14.3	0.25	17.7	18.3	-0.67
Chris Wilcox	61	58	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-1	8	14.0	15.4	-1.46	18.4	17.0	1.43
Kurt Thomas	59	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	5	-4	13.9	15.5	-1.62	18.7	16.5	2.16
Johan Petro	29	30	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	4	-2	14.6	14.3	0.24	16.5	18.7	-2.21
Luke Ridnour	37	39	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.21	-2	8	-10	13.9	14.8	-0.87	17.7	18.1	-0.47
Nick Collison	28	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	6	-6	16.9	13.3	3.60	17.8	18.0	-0.16
Delonte West	31	31	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.23	-4	10	-14	14.4	14.4	-0.06	20.2	16.7	3.42
Damien Wilkins	23	25	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.13	-1	7	-8	16.1	13.8	2.30	16.7	18.4	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	96.6%
HOU 102, IND 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.94,1,1	96.6%
DEN 81, HOU 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%