NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	3.2 [1109]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +9.1%
Indiana Pacers	111		Comeback	1.0 [1190]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -11.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	11	73%	0.05	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	9	28%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.06	19	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	9	64%	-0.02	2	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03
Micheal Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	0.06	-0.05	0.08	10	60%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	16	44%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	13	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	13	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	22	49%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.08	-0.06	11	64%	-0.04	6	-0.04	3	33%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	22.2	15.4	24.4	1.8	33.0	121.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.9%

MIN -11.6%

IND +5.0%

IND +3.3%

IND +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	16.6	15.6	113.7	118.1	102.5
season	14.8	16.0		105.3	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.7		99.2	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.2	13.9	15.2	11.4	13.9
IND	13.0	16.1	18.2	19.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Micheal Williams	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.36	10	-13	23	13.4	14.2	-0.80	17.4	16.2	1.20
Terry Porter	52	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.64	18	-21	39	12.5	15.6	-3.06	17.8	15.1	2.68
Reggie Jordan	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	2	-7	14.0	13.9	0.06	13.6	17.5	-3.88
Cherokee Parks	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	3	-9	14.8	13.2	1.63	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Stanley Roberts	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	1	-5	13.8	14.0	-0.25	16.7	16.5	0.21
Anthony Peeler	69	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	3	-9	13.7	14.5	-0.82	16.3	17.2	-0.90
Stephon Marbury	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	8	-19	14.6	12.6	2.01	16.5	16.7	-0.17
Kevin Garnett	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	14.3	11.3	3.01	17.1	13.5	3.62
Sam Mitchell	75	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	7	-17	13.8	14.2	-0.37	16.2	18.1	-1.92

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	63	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-15	33	15.9	17.9	-2.01	14.5	12.5	2.00
Reggie Miller	65	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-9	21	16.5	16.8	-0.35	14.1	13.4	0.73
Mark Jackson	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-6	15	16.8	16.0	0.85	14.2	13.1	1.14
Chris Mullin	58	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-9	21	16.9	16.1	0.77	14.1	13.5	0.66
Dale Davis	60	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	5	-7	17.4	15.1	2.25	14.1	13.6	0.51
Derrick McKey	65	66	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.52	-10	13	-23	16.5	16.8	-0.35	13.1	15.7	-2.57
Austin Croshere	36	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.33	-9	12	-21	16.1	16.9	-0.77	13.5	14.1	-0.66
Travis Best	25	26	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	9	-15	16.0	16.8	-0.85	13.1	14.2	-1.14
Jalen Rose	29	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.32	-9	12	-21	16.8	16.5	0.35	13.4	14.1	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 62, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
POR 89, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SEA 93, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%