NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	7.5 [305]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +63.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	40.1 [14]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -16.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.64	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,0.18,0.09,0.64	0.03	0.64	0.03	29	53%	0.73	4	-0.09	12	67%	-0.03
Dwayne Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.05
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.09	0.00	3	100%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	11	29%	-0.10	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.02	0.17	-0.01	10	50%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	3	90%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	16	46%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	11	45%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	3.5	32.5	18.6	27.6	3.0	34.6	145.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +62.2%

POR -7.7%

CLE +5.3%

POR -7.3%

POR -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.9	15.4	92.3	91.2	105.7
season	16.4	16.7		104.0	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		106.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	12.9	17.2	15.2	14.8
POR	16.0	17.1	15.5	19.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	44	42	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.40	19	-18	37	14.3	15.2	-0.85	19.0	15.1	3.91
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	66	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.49	6	-5	11	13.7	17.5	-3.78	17.5	15.1	2.41
Drew Gooden	51	52	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.53	4	-3	7	15.2	14.2	0.95	16.3	17.6	-1.31
Daniel Gibson	67	67	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-6	13	14.7	14.9	-0.19	17.3	15.5	1.80
LeBron James	83	83	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.44	3	-2	5	14.8	14.4	0.44	17.2	13.6	3.56
Dwayne Jones	8	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	-2	5	18.1	14.5	3.67	18.9	16.6	2.24
Devin Brown	39	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	2	-3	15.3	14.4	0.83	16.5	17.2	-0.68
Ira Newble	32	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	5	-9	13.6	15.4	-1.83	15.9	17.4	-1.53
Cedric Simmons	18	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.12	-14	15	-29	17.0	14.2	2.77	13.8	17.6	-3.85
Larry Hughes	47	48	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	0.05	-18	19	-37	15.2	14.3	0.85	15.3	18.7	-3.38

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	58	59	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.10	8	-9	17	16.7	17.2	-0.44	15.3	13.8	1.49
Channing Frye	31	32	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-8	15	16.1	17.2	-1.12	15.2	14.6	0.63
Joel Przybilla	49	47	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.23	-3	2	-5	17.6	16.1	1.48	15.1	14.5	0.59
Sergio Rodriguez	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	3	-7	17.9	16.6	1.36	15.1	14.7	0.41
Jarrett Jack	30	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	9	-19	17.4	16.6	0.79	13.4	15.5	-2.06
Brandon Roy	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.58	6	-7	13	16.7	17.5	-0.74	14.8	14.5	0.31
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.62	7	-8	15	16.2	17.9	-1.61	15.1	14.2	0.90
Martell Webster	58	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.59	3	-4	7	16.2	18.0	-1.82	14.5	15.4	-0.92
James Jones	34	32	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.51	-6	5	-11	17.5	16.5	1.01	15.4	14.5	0.92
Travis Outlaw	46	47	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.51	-13	12	-25	17.4	16.3	1.06	13.8	15.8	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.89,0.68,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.78,0.73,0	92.5%
MIA 83, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.59,0	91.1%
MIL 110, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.55,0.42,0	90.4%