NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	93		Excitement	7.0 [379]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +44.9%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.9 [396]		LVP	Carlos Arroyo (ORL): -20.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.27	-0.01	0.28	-0.00	18	47%	0.32	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.03	10	73%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	-0.00	-0.04	18	57%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	10	41%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	16	43%	-0.01	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.45	0.45	0.10	0.37	0.03	18	60%	0.49	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.04
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	7	79%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	0.00	11	58%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	69%	0.14	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	8	69%	0.11	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.06	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.8	30.2	17.4	30.6	3.4	36.9	148.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.4%

ORL +1.7%

ORL +19.5%

BOS -16.4%

ORL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.1	17.1	15.4	103.3	107.9	105.7
season	15.6	15.1		108.0	109.9
opponent	15.6	15.9		104.6	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.6	16.0	15.7	14.0	15.1
ORL	16.7	18.2	15.0	18.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	50	50	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.28	9	-12	21	15.1	15.1	0.03	17.3	16.8	0.55
Gabe Pruitt	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-3	3	0.0	15.1	-15.09	19.0	17.1	1.92
Brian Scalabrine	44	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	14.6	15.5	-0.89	16.0	18.1	-2.09
Rajon Rondo	70	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-14	25	14.7	16.3	-1.62	17.3	16.3	1.03
Tony Allen	31	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	1	-5	15.8	14.7	1.05	18.1	16.6	1.52
Ray Allen	71	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-4	5	14.7	16.6	-1.96	16.9	18.1	-1.18
Eddie House	20	18	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	11	-25	16.3	14.7	1.62	16.3	17.3	-1.03
James Posey	47	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-4	5	15.2	15.0	0.26	18.1	16.0	2.09
Paul Pierce	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	0	-3	15.4	13.4	1.99	16.9	18.3	-1.42
Kendrick Perkins	40	39	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	9	-21	15.1	15.1	-0.03	16.8	17.3	-0.55

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	59	61	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.46	13	-10	23	16.3	18.7	-2.41	15.1	15.0	0.08
Dwight Howard	71	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-9	21	16.4	19.8	-3.42	15.6	12.8	2.79
Hedo Turkoglu	72	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-3	9	16.7	18.6	-1.84	15.4	13.7	1.71
Brian Cook	18	18	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-9	21	15.9	17.4	-1.45	17.0	14.6	2.39
Maurice Evans	69	69	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-5	13	16.7	18.4	-1.74	15.2	14.7	0.49
Keith Bogans	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	6	-9	18.8	15.6	3.24	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Rashard Lewis	66	66	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	17	-31	17.1	17.0	0.08	14.2	17.5	-3.34
Adonal Foyle	18	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	12	-21	19.8	16.4	3.42	12.8	15.6	-2.79
Keyon Dooling	30	29	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.04	-10	13	-23	18.7	16.3	2.41	15.0	15.1	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.58,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.72,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.99,1	91.8%
MIA 83, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.53,0.75,0.9,0.97,1,1	91.5%
POR 87, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1	91.1%