NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	87		Excitement	6.6 [534]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +17.6%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.2 [1043]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -30.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.05	12	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	17	41%	-0.00	3	-0.12	3	33%	-0.02
Darius Miles	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.14	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	17	50%	-0.03	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.06	0.05	12	45%	-0.13	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.05	0.06	17	78%	0.24	2	-0.06	12	100%	0.03
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.01	19	25%	-0.25	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	27.2	15.4	26.0	2.5	39.4	137.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR -14.6%

IND +21.9%

IND +18.2%

IND +22.7%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	IND	NBA	POR	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	17.4	15.5	96.7	108.0	104.0
season	15.8	16.8		101.2	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	15.5	16.6	14.0	15.0
IND	16.8	18.9	16.9	17.3	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Viktor Khryapa	17	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	15.7	14.8	0.93	21.6	16.4	5.15
Derek Anderson	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-9	10	16.1	14.8	1.28	19.5	17.2	2.27
Richie Frahm	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	6.6	15.4	-8.85	1.3	18.6	-17.28
Sebastian Telfair	22	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-6	4	13.8	15.3	-1.57	21.7	16.2	5.52
Darius Miles	62	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-7	6	13.4	18.4	-4.99	18.4	15.4	2.96
Theo Ratliff	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	15.5	14.4	1.07	16.8	18.1	-1.25
Damon Stoudamire	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.25	-3	-5	2	15.6	11.6	3.92	16.8	21.1	-4.28
Joel Przybilla	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	15.9	10.4	5.49	17.0	19.3	-2.30
Ruben Patterson	68	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.14	-14	6	-20	15.4	13.6	1.75	17.8	16.3	1.53
Nick Van Exel	74	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	4	-16	14.6	16.8	-2.26	16.7	21.1	-4.38

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	64	68	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.26	13	-5	18	16.7	19.3	-2.61	15.9	12.1	3.79
Reggie Miller	61	62	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-5	18	15.9	20.9	-4.99	15.8	13.2	2.58
Anthony Johnson	65	67	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.27	10	-2	12	15.7	22.4	-6.77	15.7	12.7	2.98
Jermaine O'Neal	63	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	0	8	16.5	19.8	-3.31	15.6	13.5	2.11
Fred Jones	50	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	2	4	18.5	16.0	2.47	13.3	17.3	-4.02
Stephen Jackson	48	49	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	10	-12	18.2	16.5	1.66	16.4	13.3	3.10
James Jones	21	19	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	8	-8	14.6	18.3	-3.76	11.5	15.9	-4.35
Austin Croshere	28	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	21.3	15.6	5.65	13.4	15.7	-2.22
Eddie Gill	24	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	21.5	15.9	5.59	12.4	15.9	-3.52
Scot Pollard	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.02	-3	11	-14	22.3	16.3	5.97	14.1	15.1	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.9,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 81, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.86,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	94.1%
DEN 102, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.9%
NOH 92, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.7%