NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	83		Excitement	5.8 [644]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): +18.8%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.4 [916]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): -21.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.06	-0.00	15	72%	0.22	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.06	0.03	13	48%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.05	-0.06	15	34%	0.01	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	15	47%	-0.04	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Grant	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	8	33%	-0.11	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	14	83%	0.21	2	-0.04	13	92%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	16	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	-0.03	4	30%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	10	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	17	39%	-0.13	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	495.3	2.3	25.4	17.4	22.6	1.8	33.3	598.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +12.8%

ATL +3.1%

ATL +5.2%

ATL +27.2%

ATL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	ATL	NBA	MIA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	15.7	87.4	100.0	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		99.3	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.6	16.1	20.1	11.9	15.4
ATL	14.8	15.9	14.1	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	15	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-10	8	17.9	14.9	2.92	16.1	14.7	1.39
Loren Woods	25	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	-2	-8	17.2	14.8	2.37	15.4	14.7	0.68
Dwyane Wade	79	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-13	14	15.1	17.0	-1.91	15.0	14.5	0.49
Samaki Walker	22	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.08	-10	-2	-8	18.2	14.6	3.61	16.1	14.5	1.54
Rafer Alston	54	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-6	0	14.6	16.5	-1.98	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Udonis Haslem	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-11	10	15.3	15.7	-0.48	15.7	13.0	2.65
Brian Grant	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-11	10	14.9	16.8	-1.87	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Eddie Jones	74	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	14.8	17.4	-2.59	14.8	15.3	-0.45
Lamar Odom	70	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.01	-23	11	-34	15.7	14.7	0.94	14.0	17.4	-3.47

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	61	61	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.09	20	-8	28	13.9	16.7	-2.76	16.3	13.8	2.52
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-4	20	14.8	15.4	-0.61	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Jason Terry	78	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-3	18	14.5	16.6	-2.05	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Stephen Jackson	71	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-1	14	14.0	17.5	-3.47	14.6	17.8	-3.19
Jacque Vaughn	67	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	2	8	15.0	14.6	0.37	15.5	15.1	0.41
Dion Glover	36	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	15	-18	14.5	15.2	-0.70	15.0	15.7	-0.63
Travis Hansen	9	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	10	-8	19.0	14.5	4.52	17.1	15.3	1.87
Boris Diaw	25	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	13	-14	16.8	14.2	2.57	17.8	14.6	3.19
Lee Nailon	21	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	16	-20	15.4	14.8	0.61	15.8	15.3	0.49
Nazr Mohammed	33	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	20	-28	17.2	13.7	3.49	13.8	16.3	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.53,0.75,0.9,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 123, NOP 131	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.63,0.79,0.79,0.61,0.76,0.72,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%
ORL 88, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.93,0.97,1,1	92.7%
IND 94, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.78,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.89,0.93,0.98,1	92.4%