NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	88		Excitement	6.1 [567]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): +15.1%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.8 [952]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -17.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	83%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	85%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	31	49%	-0.00	4	-0.17	10	80%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.14	-0.03	15	55%	0.24	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	18	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	12	75%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	11	46%	0.02	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.8	33.3	19.7	28.2	2.0	38.0	150.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.6%

ORL -13.3%

DET +2.9%

DET +14.9%

DET +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	17.3	15.5	95.7	108.9	101.6
season	14.6	16.8		102.7	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.8		97.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	17.3	13.3	13.1	14.4
DET	17.9	17.0	18.0	16.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Hunter	3	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-10	10	13.3	14.4	-1.09	24.0	17.0	7.02
Ryan Humphrey	3	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-7	4	10.3	14.5	-4.19	21.5	17.1	4.41
Pat Burke	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-5	0	18.3	14.0	4.37	16.6	17.4	-0.81
Mike Miller	52	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.26	4	-14	18	13.2	15.9	-2.76	17.2	17.4	-0.24
Olumide Oyedeji	13	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-1	-8	17.2	13.9	3.31	15.1	17.6	-2.50
Andrew DeClercq	44	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	15.3	13.5	1.78	17.1	17.5	-0.36
Jeryl Sasser	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	0	-10	16.2	12.9	3.25	17.3	17.3	-0.04
Jacque Vaughn	61	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-8	6	13.4	16.3	-2.82	17.4	17.1	0.29
Pat Garrity	83	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-5	0	14.0	18.3	-4.37	17.4	16.6	0.81
Tracy McGrady	85	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-4	-2	14.3	15.6	-1.28	16.9	21.0	-4.07
Darrell Armstrong	66	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	14.3	14.7	-0.42	17.6	16.6	1.00

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	76	77	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.23	17	-7	24	17.1	18.1	-0.93	14.6	13.5	1.10
Richard Hamilton	67	69	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.16	14	-4	18	17.4	17.1	0.27	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Clifford Robinson	83	85	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	4	2	17.1	19.3	-2.17	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Michael Curry	58	60	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	-3	16	16.6	18.6	-1.98	14.3	14.5	-0.12
Chauncey Billups	66	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	2	6	17.7	16.2	1.47	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Corliss Williamson	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	13	-16	18.6	16.6	1.98	14.5	14.3	0.12
Jon Barry	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	7	-4	16.0	17.6	-1.63	16.5	13.8	2.69
Hubert Davis	1	2	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	9	-8	4.0	17.4	-13.44	14.5	14.4	0.11
Tayshaun Prince	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	10	-10	0.0	17.3	-17.29	6.0	14.5	-8.48
Chucky Atkins	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	14	-18	17.6	17.2	0.38	15.1	14.1	0.97
Mehmet Okur	21	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.00	-5	15	-20	18.5	16.9	1.55	14.4	14.4	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.7,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.93,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 123, NOP 131	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.86,0.71,0.63,0.79,0.79,0.61,0.76,0.72,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%
MIA 83, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.53,0.75,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.7%
NOH 92, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.7,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.6%