NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	81		Excitement	5.1 [775]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +12.3%
New Orleans Hornets	96		Comeback	2.7 [761]		LVP	Channing Frye (POR): -12.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	10	68%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.00	14	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	4	60%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	48%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	4	10%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.03	18	63%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	14	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	7	43%	-0.04
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	11	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.4	26.4	15.7	27.7	1.7	28.3	130.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +22.9%

NOH +6.4%

NOH +14.5%

NOH +4.9%

NOH +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NOH	NBA	POR	NOH	NBA
this game	18.9	16.4	15.4	98.8	118.5	105.7
season	16.7	15.9		105.5	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	21.4	19.8	19.0	18.9
NOH	15.5	14.6	17.1	18.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	52	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-15	15	19.1	18.6	0.49	15.6	18.0	-2.43
Martell Webster	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-13	11	18.2	19.6	-1.41	15.4	17.5	-2.09
Sergio Rodriguez	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-10	5	19.9	18.8	1.10	16.7	16.4	0.30
Joel Przybilla	34	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-11	7	20.5	17.7	2.72	15.5	17.2	-1.69
Channing Frye	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-7	-1	18.4	19.1	-0.66	15.5	17.0	-1.44
LaMarcus Aldridge	56	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-13	11	18.2	20.3	-2.09	17.0	15.2	1.79
Brandon Roy	74	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	18.8	19.9	-1.10	16.4	16.7	-0.30
James Jones	41	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-2	-11	19.6	18.2	1.41	17.5	15.4	2.09
Travis Outlaw	45	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	1	-17	18.8	19.0	-0.22	17.1	15.7	1.43
Jarrett Jack	30	28	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	0	-15	18.6	19.1	-0.49	18.0	15.6	2.43

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	27	30	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	0	15	17.4	16.0	1.39	18.2	19.2	-1.02
Tyson Chandler	74	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	7	1	16.7	14.1	2.52	19.1	17.0	2.11
David West	65	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	2	11	15.8	19.1	-3.26	18.6	19.8	-1.12
Jannero Pargo	39	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	1	13	16.7	16.2	0.48	20.2	17.7	2.58
Ryan Bowen	24	23	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	7	1	18.5	15.6	2.86	22.0	17.6	4.40
Melvin Ely	23	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	6	3	17.6	16.0	1.57	18.8	18.9	-0.10
Chris Paul	65	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	7	1	16.0	18.2	-2.17	18.2	21.5	-3.27
Peja Stojakovic	57	59	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	8	-1	15.6	18.5	-2.86	17.6	22.0	-4.40
Morris Peterson	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.19	-7	22	-29	16.2	16.6	-0.35	19.2	18.7	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
POR 89, ORL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 85, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.0%