inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 89 Excitement4.7 [892] MVPJameer Nelson (ORL): +8.7%
Orlando Magic 104 Comeback2.1 [834] LVPZach Randolph (POR): -20.6%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joel Przybilla0.080,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.010.03875%0.0800.00475%-0.00
Jarrett Jack0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.002100%0.081-0.023100%0.01
Travis Outlaw0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00371%0.0400.001100%0.00
Juan Dixon-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03350%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Sebastian Telfair-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.08-0.010.091551%-0.0200.00978%-0.00
Martell Webster-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.010.03275%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Darius Miles-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.020.032052%0.033-0.09425%-0.04
Sergei Monia-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.00920%-0.1200.002100%0.01
Zach Randolph-0.210,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.18-0.06-0.031429%-0.065-0.1400%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.010.041669%0.122-0.03367%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.01-0.001260%0.0800.0010%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.010.041070%0.081-0.03367%-0.01
Steve Francis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03963%0.083-0.041100%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.031954%0.051-0.031100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.02560%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.01-0.03629%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.03-0.03650%0.032-0.0700%0.00
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.628.616.825.22.628.0126.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +36.5%
POR -5.8%
ORL +8.9%
ORL +8.4%
ORL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORORLNBAPORORLNBA
this game16.117.415.6104.7119.5104.4
season16.616.499.4104.4
opponent15.715.7105.9109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR17.115.717.713.816.1
ORL18.014.315.022.917.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Travis Outlaw3437-0.11-0.390.29-0.224-192315.916.2-0.3219.615.73.92
Martell Webster1213-0.18-0.320.130.02-7-8114.316.4-2.0616.317.6-1.25
Sergei Monia4948-0.23-0.270.05-0.08-5-10516.315.80.4715.919.2-3.28
Jarrett Jack2224-0.24-0.260.020.02-9-6-318.015.42.6216.817.6-0.74
Sebastian Telfair6363-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.08-6-9315.418.0-2.6217.616.80.74
Juan Dixon3033-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-11-4-716.815.71.0218.516.61.90
Darius Miles7677-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-3-916.215.40.7417.218.4-1.17
Joel Przybilla7778-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-6-315.818.9-3.0616.822.0-5.17
Zach Randolph6262-0.48-0.02-0.460.11-205-2516.315.50.8617.616.80.80

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stacey Augmon33310.480.020.46-0.0217-21915.718.4-2.6917.015.61.46
Jameer Nelson57550.320.180.13-0.04123917.018.0-1.0215.517.3-1.79
Dwight Howard68680.310.190.120.1369-317.915.52.4216.215.70.50
Steve Francis59570.290.210.08-0.00105517.317.4-0.0915.816.7-0.96
Tony Battie58560.250.250.010.19213-1118.215.82.3616.116.00.11
Kelvin Cato23220.240.26-0.02-0.08114717.617.30.2716.216.10.10
Pat Garrity24240.190.31-0.13-0.14114714.518.5-3.9615.716.3-0.61
Hedo Turkoglu41400.180.32-0.130.18015-1517.717.10.6417.215.12.07
DeShawn Stevenson60600.130.37-0.240.10114-1318.415.03.4915.617.3-1.72
Keyon Dooling12120.100.40-0.29-0.04510-515.717.6-1.8817.016.01.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 87, MIA 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.7%
NJN 89, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
CHI 88, SAC 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,194.4%