NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	90		Excitement	5.8 [623]		MVP	Tim Thomas (LAC): +15.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	2.1 [223]		LVP	Al Thornton (LAC): -13.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eduardo Najera	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	73%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Von Wafer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	23	45%	0.07	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Bobby Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	19	58%	0.12	8	-0.23	12	58%	-0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	7	81%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	11	77%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	9	56%	0.09	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	74%	0.13	5	-0.12	9	78%	0.01
Josh Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	14	35%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.5	38.3	16.3	29.4	2.7	28.3	146.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +46.3%

LAC +14.1%

LAC +3.8%

DEN -16.8%

LAC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	14.8	15.4	88.2	99.0	105.7
season	13.3	15.6		108.2	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		106.8	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.4	12.8	14.5	14.3	13.4
LAC	12.9	14.8	14.8	17.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yakhouba Diawara	22	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-18	25	12.4	13.7	-1.32	13.3	15.2	-1.84
Von Wafer	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	6.5	13.6	-7.08	16.5	14.8	1.74
Linas Kleiza	30	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-9	7	13.1	13.6	-0.44	15.2	14.6	0.53
Carmelo Anthony	82	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-10	9	13.4	13.7	-0.32	14.9	14.1	0.83
Kenyon Martin	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	-3	-5	14.4	12.5	1.86	13.8	15.8	-2.00
Bobby Jones	18	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-3	-5	12.2	13.7	-1.48	14.9	14.8	0.12
Mike Wilks	42	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-4	-3	13.4	13.5	-0.10	15.7	14.2	1.48
Eduardo Najera	45	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-7	3	13.1	13.7	-0.55	15.9	13.9	2.00
Marcus Camby	84	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	-2	-7	13.4	13.7	-0.27	14.7	15.0	-0.25
J.R. Smith	45	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	1	-13	13.7	13.2	0.48	14.9	14.7	0.12
Allen Iverson	91	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	2	-15	13.8	10.4	3.45	14.4	17.8	-3.39

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.05	17	-6	23	15.2	13.9	1.30	13.9	12.3	1.53
Cuttino Mobley	67	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-2	15	15.4	13.5	1.90	12.8	14.5	-1.68
Chris Kaman	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-1	13	14.9	14.4	0.55	14.2	11.2	3.02
Dan Dickau	42	43	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-1	13	14.9	14.7	0.15	13.3	13.5	-0.20
Tim Thomas	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-2	15	14.4	15.2	-0.84	14.1	12.7	1.36
Al Thornton	48	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	12	-13	14.3	15.3	-0.99	13.1	13.7	-0.66
Sam Cassell	28	28	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	11	-11	16.5	14.1	2.40	14.3	13.1	1.16
Ruben Patterson	47	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	15	-19	14.3	15.2	-0.92	14.3	12.7	1.51
Josh Powell	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	16.5	14.8	1.74	6.5	13.6	-7.08
Aaron Williams	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	10	-9	13.6	15.0	-1.45	11.9	13.7	-1.80
Brevin Knight	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	14	-17	13.4	15.5	-2.16	12.5	13.9	-1.46
Paul Davis	24	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	14	-17	14.9	14.8	0.11	11.2	14.1	-2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 88, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
POR 81, NOH 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.78,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	94.5%
IND 80, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%