NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	6.6 [450]		MVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): +13.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	83		Comeback	1.8 [303]		LVP	Willie Green (PHI): -30.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	17	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12	0.06	0.08	0.03	12	64%	0.20	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	15	48%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	7	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	16	57%	0.09	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	10	67%	0.11	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	16	33%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.18	-0.14	-0.01	15	31%	-0.16	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	26.3	15.7	33.0	1.8	36.7	137.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +60.0%

PHI -8.8%

MIL +0.6%

PHI -1.6%

PHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.7	14.3	15.4	97.8	91.2	105.7
season	15.8	15.2		103.4	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.2		104.2	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	18.7	18.3	19.4	17.7
PHI	16.0	14.0	13.0	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	61	62	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.35	13	-9	22	17.5	18.1	-0.65	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Charlie Villanueva	56	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-4	12	17.8	17.5	0.38	14.3	14.3	-0.00
Mo Williams	77	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	3	-2	17.9	16.2	1.77	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Andrew Bogut	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	3	-2	17.2	20.5	-3.33	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Royal Ivey	74	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	5	-6	17.6	18.3	-0.69	14.7	12.8	1.94
Bobby Simmons	51	53	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.08	1	3	-2	17.7	17.7	-0.02	14.6	14.0	0.58
Michael Ruffin	14	16	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	1	2	20.5	17.2	3.33	15.9	14.0	1.94
Yi Jianlian	37	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	10	-16	17.6	17.8	-0.22	14.2	14.4	-0.15

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	37	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-10	16	14.1	14.5	-0.35	18.8	16.9	1.95
Calvin Booth	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-4	4	14.0	14.4	-0.36	17.8	17.7	0.11
Gordan Giricek	12	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-1	-2	14.5	14.3	0.18	16.9	17.8	-0.90
Willie Green	70	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-10	16	14.4	14.1	0.26	18.6	14.8	3.84
Samuel Dalembert	76	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.31	3	-7	10	14.5	13.7	0.73	17.7	17.8	-0.09
Andre Miller	79	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-7	10	14.7	11.7	2.98	18.4	13.4	5.05
Andre Iguodala	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-1	-2	14.0	17.1	-3.07	16.8	26.7	-9.95
Jason Smith	22	21	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	9	-22	15.0	14.1	0.93	15.1	18.5	-3.34
Thaddeus Young	29	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.15	-10	6	-16	13.1	14.9	-1.82	16.7	18.1	-1.43
Lou Williams	43	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	5	-14	14.5	14.2	0.37	17.7	17.7	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.31,0.2,0.07,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.09,0	92.5%
SAS 93, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	92.1%
MEM 100, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	92.1%