NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	100		Excitement	5.7 [682]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +32.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	96		Comeback	1.2 [547]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -10.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.14	-0.01	10	95%	0.35	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	8	85%	0.23	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.07
Dahntay Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	6	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	77%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Burks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Brian Cardinal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.06	0.02	18	74%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	6	79%	0.17	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	17	50%	-0.05	1	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	29%	-0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	537.5	2.5	29.4	16.7	22.3	1.0	42.1	651.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +44.0%

MEM +4.6%

MEM +8.0%

SEA -13.3%

MEM +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SEA	NBA	MEM	SEA	NBA
this game	19.7	15.0	15.6	120.5	115.7	104.4
season	17.1	15.0		103.5	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.7		112.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.9	17.0	21.3	21.0	19.7
SEA	17.0	15.0	15.8	12.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	44	45	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	18.7	20.9	-2.14	13.4	16.8	-3.42
Pau Gasol	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-4	12	19.9	17.9	2.06	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Dahntay Jones	38	39	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	19.8	19.6	0.20	13.6	16.1	-2.50
Shane Battier	75	75	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	20.0	17.1	2.89	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Lorenzen Wright	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	-1	6	19.8	19.6	0.21	16.3	11.7	4.64
Eddie Jones	75	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	8	-12	19.8	19.5	0.26	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Brian Cardinal	10	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	6	-8	15.2	20.4	-5.16	13.0	15.3	-2.26
Antonio Burks	39	38	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	20.9	18.7	2.14	16.8	13.4	3.42

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	10	9	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-6	8	14.3	15.1	-0.75	16.4	20.1	-3.69
Vladimir Radmanovic	20	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-6	8	14.4	15.1	-0.68	17.8	20.4	-2.58
Vitaly Potapenko	30	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	15.8	14.5	1.26	21.0	19.0	2.02
Ray Allen	70	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-5	6	15.0	14.5	0.50	20.0	18.0	2.03
Nick Collison	38	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	2	-8	15.6	14.4	1.13	18.8	20.4	-1.59
Rashard Lewis	75	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-5	6	15.1	13.9	1.21	19.9	18.5	1.37
Damien Wilkins	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	15.2	14.2	0.98	20.4	17.2	3.21
Reggie Evans	58	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	1	-6	15.0	15.0	0.01	20.9	17.1	3.87
Ronald Murray	50	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	4	-12	13.8	16.8	-2.98	18.4	21.6	-3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.21,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, GSW 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0,0,0	93.9%
MIA 86, NJN 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.5%
UTA 125, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.5%