NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	93		Excitement	10.8 [37]		MVP	Dahntay Jones (SAC): +18.3%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	5.7 [308]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -38.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	5	76%	0.18	0	0.00	11	73%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.08	-0.00	10	70%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Mikki Moore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.01	17	56%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.10
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.12,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.12	0.01	18	32%	-0.06	3	-0.20	1	100%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.28	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.06	-0.22	0.01	8	44%	-0.10	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	-0.38	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.38	-0.07	-0.31	-0.00	10	62%	0.17	7	-0.55	1	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.21	0.00	0.05	10	96%	0.26	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.04
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08	0.08	-0.08	0.17	-0.00	3	8%	0.08	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.11
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	54%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.25,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.14	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.10
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	7	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	14	46%	0.03	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	7	0%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.00	-0.20	0.00	10	52%	-0.05	2	-0.15	7	57%	-0.04
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.12	-0.17	-0.02	13	30%	-0.15	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	33.4	15.6	30.2	2.5	42.2	153.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC -29.8%

CHI +4.8%

CHI +27.0%

CHI +40.2%

CHI +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	15.4	15.4	96.9	98.9	105.7
season	14.9	15.0		105.6	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		105.4	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.8	15.4	14.6	15.1	14.7
CHI	16.8	15.3	13.6	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	9	9	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.07	7	-8	15	13.3	14.9	-1.53	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Quincy Douby	42	43	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.13	1	-2	3	14.6	14.8	-0.13	15.5	15.4	0.13
Justin Williams	20	17	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-1	1	13.2	15.1	-1.86	14.6	15.6	-0.97
Dahntay Jones	61	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.33	10	-11	21	14.1	15.7	-1.61	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Beno Udrih	75	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	3	-7	14.8	14.3	0.55	15.1	16.7	-1.61
Francisco Garcia	74	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	1	-3	14.9	14.2	0.70	16.0	13.6	2.40
Mikki Moore	67	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.51	-2	1	-3	14.6	15.0	-0.45	15.8	14.6	1.19
John Salmons	56	55	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.44	-10	9	-19	15.7	13.4	2.26	15.6	15.2	0.38
Brad Miller	76	77	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.62	-5	4	-9	14.9	13.9	1.03	15.3	15.9	-0.55

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	68	69	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.59	9	-8	17	14.7	17.3	-2.59	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Joe Smith	60	60	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.61	6	-5	11	15.6	15.2	0.38	15.4	13.6	1.82
Kirk Hinrich	72	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.56	1	0	1	15.0	16.8	-1.77	14.4	15.9	-1.51
Chris Duhon	47	48	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-5	11	16.0	14.9	1.06	16.5	12.9	3.60
Andres Nocioni	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.66	-7	8	-15	15.2	16.0	-0.79	14.1	15.8	-1.62
Thabo Sefolosha	22	24	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	-10	21	16.0	15.3	0.79	17.4	13.8	3.54
Joakim Noah	5	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	5	-9	20.2	15.2	5.02	13.0	14.8	-1.79
Ben Gordon	71	71	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	6	-11	15.5	15.2	0.31	13.9	17.1	-3.25
Aaron Gray	20	21	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.08	-9	10	-19	16.2	15.2	1.02	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Tyrus Thomas	47	48	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.34	-3	4	-7	15.6	15.3	0.22	14.1	15.4	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.27,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	90.3%
UTA 86, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	90.1%
BOS 101, NYK 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.42,1	90.1%