NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	115		Excitement	14.2 [4]		MVP	Joe Smith (CHI): +48.0%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	8.2 [86]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -30.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.32,0.32,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.38	0.06	0.32	0.00	13	63%	0.43	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	8	81%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	15	61%	0.16	0	0.00	11	91%	0.11
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11	-0.08	0.18	-0.01	17	39%	0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
James Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.11	-0.00	19	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48	0.48	0.20	0.29	0.01	17	70%	0.48	0	0.00	10	90%	0.10
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.09	0.01	11	43%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.09
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.17,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.11	-0.01	27	58%	0.37	4	-0.41	1	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	13	39%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.21	0.01	18	33%	-0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	31.6	19.8	26.2	3.8	32.2	2.6	18.0	1.8	22.8	183.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.2%

POR +3.5%

CHI -25.7%

POR +43.6%

CHI -8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	16.5	15.4	109.5	105.8	105.7
season	16.7	15.0		105.5	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.4		105.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	18.9	16.8	14.4	20.6	14.9	17.0
CHI	13.9	17.5	17.7	18.4	15.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	64	61	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-2	10	17.1	16.8	0.30	16.1	17.0	-0.89
Brandon Roy	87	87	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-5	16	17.3	15.4	1.83	16.2	18.3	-2.15
LaMarcus Aldridge	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	0	6	17.6	15.1	2.45	16.2	17.4	-1.15
James Jones	56	54	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	4	-2	17.2	16.7	0.43	16.1	16.9	-0.73
Travis Outlaw	69	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	2	2	16.3	18.2	-1.92	17.8	14.1	3.73
Channing Frye	34	32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.18	5	1	4	16.0	17.4	-1.47	16.8	16.4	0.46
Martell Webster	49	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	2	2	16.7	17.2	-0.43	16.9	16.1	0.73
Steve Blake	50	50	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	4	-2	16.2	17.7	-1.53	17.7	15.3	2.42
Joel Przybilla	28	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	9	-12	18.1	16.6	1.51	13.8	17.5	-3.71
Sergio Rodriguez	9	8	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.07	-9	15	-24	17.6	16.9	0.65	15.1	16.6	-1.49

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Duhon	49	51	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.29	-5	-1	-4	16.8	16.3	0.50	15.7	18.2	-2.48
Luol Deng	26	26	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-11	16	14.5	17.2	-2.72	18.6	16.4	2.15
Tyrus Thomas	5	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-9	12	13.8	16.6	-2.83	17.8	16.9	0.92
Adrian Griffin	16	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-6	6	21.2	15.6	5.56	16.2	17.1	-0.94
Joakim Noah	27	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	1	-8	17.3	16.2	1.04	15.0	17.7	-2.72
Andres Nocioni	64	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	16.2	16.9	-0.73	16.9	17.1	-0.27
Ben Wallace	84	83	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-4	2	16.8	15.2	1.64	17.9	13.4	4.55
Kirk Hinrich	83	84	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-4	2	15.7	19.6	-3.92	17.6	14.5	3.11
Joe Smith	81	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	4	-14	16.3	17.2	-0.93	16.8	17.5	-0.66
Ben Gordon	80	81	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.54	-7	1	-8	16.9	15.2	1.65	16.6	18.0	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.75,0.55,0.15,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 122, NYK 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.29,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	86.6%
SAC 98, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1	86.3%
ATL 109, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.08,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.78,0.73,0	85.8%