NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	7.5 [300]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +15.3%
Atlanta Hawks	116		Comeback	3.0 [241]		LVP	Kyrylo Fesenko (UTA): -9.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	-0.00	0.03	24	63%	0.23	2	-0.08	14	64%	-0.05
Ronnie Brewer	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	-0.01	0.01	11	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	11	53%	0.11	5	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01
Jason Hart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	12	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.02
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.02	17	58%	0.23	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	11	77%	0.26	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	75%	0.22	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	65%	0.12	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.00
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	10	80%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Solomon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	2	67%	0.11	4	-0.12	8	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.6	31.0	14.8	32.0	1.8	44.1	154.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +57.2%

ATL +14.5%

ATL +9.1%

UTA -34.0%

ATL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ATL	NBA	UTA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.4	114.4	122.1	105.7
season	15.5	15.4		111.2	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.0		107.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	15.3	14.3	14.7	15.2
ATL	17.4	15.3	14.5	12.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	1	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-3	1	10.0	15.3	-5.29	0.5	15.1	-14.56
CJ Miles	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-6	7	15.4	15.2	0.27	14.9	14.7	0.21
Gordan Giricek	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-1	-3	17.0	15.1	1.94	11.7	15.0	-3.28
Kyrylo Fesenko	16	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	1	-7	18.5	14.6	3.91	13.5	15.0	-1.45
Jason Hart	14	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	1	-7	20.1	14.4	5.65	13.7	14.9	-1.22
Paul Millsap	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	0	-5	15.7	15.0	0.77	13.7	15.3	-1.64
Jarron Collins	54	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	15.6	14.8	0.84	17.0	12.2	4.80
Deron Williams	84	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	14.4	20.8	-6.48	14.6	15.8	-1.17
Carlos Boozer	85	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.41	2	-7	9	14.8	18.3	-3.53	15.2	11.4	3.82
Ronnie Brewer	80	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-5	5	14.7	17.6	-2.85	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Andrei Kirilenko	83	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	15.0	16.9	-1.89	14.6	15.5	-0.90

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	48	49	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.31	13	-8	21	13.9	15.7	-1.83	16.4	14.0	2.37
Anthony Johnson	89	91	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-4	13	14.4	19.5	-5.06	15.5	10.8	4.69
Marvin Williams	95	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.8	0.0	14.76	15.4	2.0	13.38
Joe Johnson	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	3	-1	13.9	18.3	-4.45	14.9	16.6	-1.70
Al Horford	54	57	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.30	2	3	-1	15.0	14.5	0.48	15.1	15.5	-0.40
Shelden Williams	25	24	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	-1	7	16.4	14.2	2.28	18.6	14.1	4.50
Solomon Jones	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	0.0	14.8	-14.76	2.0	15.4	-13.38
Mario West	31	29	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	11	-17	15.8	14.3	1.51	13.4	16.0	-2.60
Josh Smith	57	62	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	11	-17	15.7	13.3	2.40	14.0	17.4	-3.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 89, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.96,1	93.0%
MIA 87, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.31,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.83,1	92.1%
POR 83, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%