NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	8.1 [216]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +22.2%
Phoenix Suns	103		Comeback	2.1 [720]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -20.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.00	13	59%	0.24	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.01	14	54%	0.10	4	-0.08	9	67%	-0.06
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	6	60%	0.01	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.07
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.19	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	17	46%	-0.11	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.10
Carlos Boozer	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.18	-0.01	24	50%	-0.08	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.00	19	65%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.07	0.06	12	97%	0.34	6	-0.15	6	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.08	-0.00	7	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.10	0.11	-0.03	14	35%	0.11	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	18	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	8	12%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.8	26.2	19.7	25.3	3.7	41.0	144.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.1%

PHX +22.1%

PHX +2.5%

UTA -12.0%

UTA -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	13.9	15.4	102.1	107.3	105.7
season	15.5	13.8		111.2	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	16.7	16.9	15.0	16.1
PHX	12.6	14.7	13.1	15.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	10	11	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.04	6	-11	17	16.3	16.0	0.28	13.0	14.1	-1.07
Gordan Giricek	16	16	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-10	15	16.9	15.9	1.06	14.5	13.8	0.66
CJ Miles	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-2	-1	17.2	15.9	1.28	13.4	14.0	-0.61
Matt Harpring	28	28	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-6	7	18.2	15.1	3.10	14.8	13.6	1.18
Jason Hart	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.12	1	-6	7	17.1	15.3	1.82	14.6	13.5	1.11
Ronnie Brewer	52	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-4	3	14.8	17.5	-2.67	13.6	14.4	-0.81
Ronnie Price	11	12	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-1	-3	18.6	15.7	2.92	15.4	13.7	1.68
Paul Millsap	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.4	19.7	-4.36	14.3	12.1	2.19
Andrei Kirilenko	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	15.9	16.5	-0.59	13.9	14.2	-0.26
Carlos Boozer	82	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	3	-11	15.9	16.9	-0.94	13.5	16.3	-2.74
Deron Williams	72	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	6	-17	15.7	17.0	-1.21	13.5	15.3	-1.80

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	74	74	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-4	13	13.9	14.2	-0.30	15.3	18.5	-3.23
Leandro Barbosa	49	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-5	15	14.4	13.4	0.98	18.3	13.9	4.32
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	1	3	14.1	13.3	0.82	15.9	16.5	-0.58
Shawn Marion	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	-1	7	13.2	17.0	-3.76	15.8	17.4	-1.65
Boris Diaw	43	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	0	5	14.5	13.5	0.94	18.0	14.6	3.49
Raja Bell	71	72	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	6	-7	14.4	12.6	1.77	15.2	18.5	-3.26
Grant Hill	72	73	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	10	-15	13.4	15.5	-2.01	15.5	18.0	-2.50
Brian Skinner	17	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.01	-3	8	-11	14.2	13.9	0.35	16.3	16.0	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.71,0.92,1	92.0%
GSW 102, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	91.3%
ORL 108, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.71,0.85,0.91,1	91.1%