NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	86		Excitement	5.2 [738]		MVP	Michael Redd (MIL): +10.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	1.2 [411]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -24.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.01	18	56%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
James Augustine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.03
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	13	48%	-0.03	5	-0.11	16	50%	-0.05
Jameer Nelson	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.20	-0.05	-0.01	9	22%	-0.09	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	17	64%	0.20	5	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.00	11	69%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	7	69%	0.10	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.05	12	61%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	6	22%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	32.5	16.4	34.5	2.6	41.3	154.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +49.8%

MIL +5.5%

MIL +4.1%

ORL -10.0%

MIL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	15.4	85.1	99.0	105.7
season	15.1	15.8		109.9	103.4
opponent	15.2	15.6		110.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.5	14.3	16.0	12.0	14.2
MIL	13.7	16.3	12.8	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-14	14	17.1	13.8	3.26	16.5	14.1	2.49
James Augustine	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-13	12	13.2	14.3	-1.10	9.4	14.9	-5.47
Keith Bogans	46	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-9	4	14.7	13.8	0.89	16.0	12.9	3.10
Brian Cook	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-8	2	14.4	14.2	0.20	9.1	15.1	-6.03
Jameer Nelson	61	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-8	2	13.5	15.3	-1.80	14.7	13.7	0.95
Keyon Dooling	46	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	-2	-10	15.0	13.5	1.45	13.1	15.3	-2.15
Rashard Lewis	83	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-11	8	14.3	13.9	0.36	15.9	7.1	8.78
Hedo Turkoglu	87	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-5	-4	13.8	16.6	-2.85	14.6	12.7	1.88
Dwight Howard	89	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	13.8	16.7	-2.91	14.0	16.7	-2.75
Maurice Evans	58	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	1	-16	14.5	13.7	0.81	13.0	16.1	-3.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	94	94	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.00	25	-11	36	13.7	22.7	-9.01	14.3	13.3	0.97
Desmond Mason	68	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	2	10	14.8	13.4	1.34	14.3	13.9	0.46
Charlie Bell	68	68	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	5	4	14.3	14.3	0.04	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Andrew Bogut	64	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	2	10	14.8	13.4	1.41	13.5	15.4	-1.90
Yi Jianlian	70	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	5	4	15.0	12.7	2.29	14.7	13.1	1.62
Jake Voskuhl	19	18	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	6	2	13.2	14.6	-1.44	17.5	13.5	4.03
Mo Williams	62	62	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.02	3	11	-8	14.7	13.8	0.91	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Dan Gadzuric	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	15	-16	11.1	14.8	-3.73	13.1	14.3	-1.25
Bobby Simmons	35	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	14	-14	13.9	14.6	-0.67	14.4	14.1	0.31
Charlie Villanueva	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	21	-28	14.7	14.3	0.39	12.4	14.4	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.85,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 82, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
BKN 76, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.4%
PHI 99, ORL 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.95,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%