NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	76		Excitement	5.2 [784]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (BKN): +9.7%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.4 [880]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -24.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	-0.00	3	89%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Alan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	14	39%	0.02	6	-0.16	5	100%	0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.08	0.03	14	33%	-0.18	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.08	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	34.2	19.4	30.4	2.7	29.0	144.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.1%

CHI +2.0%

CHI +9.9%

BKN -5.9%

CHI +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHI	NBA	BKN	CHI	NBA
this game	15.6	17.5	15.1	87.4	105.7	105.2
season	15.7	16.3		105.1	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		99.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.8	13.3	15.8	19.4	15.6
CHI	15.9	17.3	16.2	21.8	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	41	42	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.02	6	-22	28	14.7	16.4	-1.68	20.7	14.6	6.11
Jason Terry	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-17	18	18.9	14.7	4.22	20.3	16.7	3.60
Mirza Teletovic	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-13	10	14.7	15.7	-1.00	9.8	18.1	-8.24
Mason Plumlee	19	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-13	10	15.4	15.7	-0.29	15.9	17.9	-1.94
Alan Anderson	25	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-10	4	16.0	15.5	0.51	15.0	18.6	-3.52
Shaun Livingston	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	-10	4	13.5	18.3	-4.73	18.1	16.8	1.27
Andrei Kirilenko	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-17	18	17.1	14.5	2.58	17.7	17.4	0.30
Paul Pierce	48	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	0	-16	14.6	16.8	-2.22	18.7	15.9	2.81
Joe Johnson	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	1	-18	16.2	13.3	2.86	17.5	17.5	-0.03
Deron Williams	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.02	-15	-1	-14	15.5	16.4	-0.91	17.4	18.4	-0.98
Andray Blatche	46	45	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.01	-22	6	-28	16.4	14.7	1.68	14.6	20.7	-6.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	82	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.03	21	-5	26	17.5	18.4	-0.95	16.0	7.2	8.75
Kirk Hinrich	58	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	0	16	18.7	15.1	3.55	14.9	17.0	-2.07
Joakim Noah	56	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	3	10	19.3	14.2	5.10	15.9	15.1	0.79
Carlos Boozer	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	5	6	15.9	20.1	-4.21	14.7	17.0	-2.31
Taj Gibson	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	8	0	17.1	18.3	-1.17	16.0	14.8	1.19
Mike Dunleavy	61	60	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	9	-2	16.6	19.6	-3.01	14.9	17.0	-2.09
D.J. Augustin	48	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	10	-4	17.4	17.6	-0.20	16.8	14.2	2.59
Tony Snell	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	18	-20	17.1	17.6	-0.49	14.7	15.7	-1.08
Nazr Mohammed	8	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	16	-16	18.5	17.4	1.09	16.7	15.5	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.3%
NYK 89, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MEM 82, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.69,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%