inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 116 Excitement10.7 [39] MVPChris Paul (NOH): +73.2%
New Orleans Hornets 118 Comeback3.4 [419] LVPJannero Pargo (NOH): -11.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0.320,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.04,0.320.180.13-0.012166%0.411-0.105100%0.04
Mike Miller0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.110.080.011570%0.333-0.15771%0.04
Kyle Lowry0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.090.14-0.021242%0.214-0.14967%-0.01
Hakim Warrick0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.03-0.00554%0.0700.00333%-0.03
Pau Gasol0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.030.04-0.03-0.021768%0.186-0.154100%0.02
Casey Jacobsen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.02-0.00333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Juan Carlos Navarro-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.000100%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Darko Milicic-0.120,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.03-0.070.02757%-0.053-0.0700%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.27,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.730.730.230.50-0.002768%0.823-0.08989%0.10
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.10.100.060.04-0.001059%0.121-0.02250%-0.00
David West0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.010.010.06-0.040.011957%0.233-0.22989%0.05
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.02856%0.0100.0000%0.00
Julian Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.00650%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.03-0.01831%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Melvin Ely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.00427%0.001-0.02333%-0.04
Hilton Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.060.00540%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.06-0.06-0.00837%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.22.530.215.428.31.834.11.513.0152.1
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.31.917.1140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM -35.1%
NOH +15.6%
NOH +51.9%
NOH +23.6%
MEM -5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMNOHNBAMEMNOHNBA
this game14.615.915.4111.5113.5105.7
season14.915.9103.3109.6
opponent15.714.9104.0109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MEM13.514.314.216.016.814.6
NOH16.515.114.017.418.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Lowry9088-0.01-0.490.49-0.010-2214.416.0-1.5715.617.9-2.30
Casey Jacobsen2017-0.03-0.470.440.03-20-214.414.7-0.2415.116.1-1.04
Pau Gasol9292-0.21-0.290.07-0.334-61014.714.30.3516.015.60.39
Mike Miller8182-0.22-0.280.06-0.344-61014.315.9-1.6315.617.1-1.47
Rudy Gay8890-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.464-61014.813.61.2816.213.92.32
Hakim Warrick3230-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.09-97-1614.714.60.0614.716.4-1.69
Darko Milicic8485-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.391-3414.614.9-0.3216.513.53.01
Juan Carlos Navarro2527-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.18-108-1815.414.40.9416.115.90.29

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler35330.63-0.130.760.427-51216.115.80.2715.614.21.41
Bobby Jackson36360.63-0.130.760.2812-102215.516.2-0.7015.614.11.44
Chris Paul95940.480.020.450.4802-216.213.32.8514.515.7-1.17
Melvin Ely24240.430.070.370.1111-92016.015.90.1415.014.50.46
Hilton Armstrong17170.270.230.030.096-41016.615.80.8516.414.32.04
Tyson Chandler87870.230.27-0.030.35-46-1015.816.6-0.8514.316.4-2.04
Peja Stojakovic34340.110.39-0.280.023-1416.215.80.4114.014.9-0.91
Morris Peterson12110.090.41-0.32-0.065-3816.215.90.3613.514.8-1.33
David West7980-0.010.51-0.520.25-911-2016.115.40.6514.515.0-0.46
Jannero Pargo6061-0.020.52-0.530.25-911-2015.516.5-0.9014.514.8-0.25
Julian Wright4143-0.340.84-1.180.01-1214-2615.516.2-0.7314.314.9-0.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.27,0.54,0.81,0.57,0.86,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 88, CLE 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.84,0.71,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.71,0.93,188.5%
PHI 97, DET 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.85,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.28,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.97,0.9,188.5%
MIN 100, PHX 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.28,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.78,0.84,188.4%