inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 110 Excitement4.8 [835] MVPCaron Butler (WAS): +25.5%
Dallas Mavericks 98 Comeback1.9 [85] LVPJason Terry (DAL): -12.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.260,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.040.051792%0.323-0.074100%0.02
Antawn Jamison0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.140.010.051560%0.1000.001580%0.03
Antonio Daniels0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.021255%0.122-0.06580%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.01-0.061638%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Nick Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01839%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Andray Blatche-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01445%0.021-0.02333%-0.03
Brendan Haywood-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.02378%0.042-0.053100%0.01
Roger Mason Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Darius Songaila-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.180.020.061866%0.161-0.0211100%0.05
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.010.03883%0.1000.002100%0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.021050%0.0600.004100%0.02
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Maurice Ager0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01233%0.0000.002100%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.011550%0.064-0.104100%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0230%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.001100%0.023-0.0600%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.000.04450%-0.031-0.024100%0.00
Trenton Hassell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.01333%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01930%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.04-0.02917%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.431.416.427.12.532.7138.7
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +51.9%
DAL -4.7%
DAL -3.3%
DAL -3.1%
WAS +9.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDALNBAWASDALNBA
this game16.114.515.4118.3103.2105.7
season16.116.1106.8108.9
opponent15.415.5105.0107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS15.014.515.320.016.1
DAL15.714.316.012.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler84860.53-0.030.560.0915-31816.314.22.0914.614.00.60
Andray Blatche36380.390.110.290.0113-11413.917.5-3.5315.314.01.28
Antawn Jamison71710.370.130.240.051111016.315.50.7414.514.8-0.38
Antonio Daniels79800.350.150.190.2057-216.215.50.7214.514.50.02
DeShawn Stevenson71710.270.230.050.25111-1016.813.83.0614.813.71.12
Nick Young27290.180.32-0.15-0.0993614.516.8-2.2913.714.9-1.23
Darius Songaila36390.160.34-0.180.19-113-1417.015.51.5014.414.7-0.32
Roger Mason Jr.10120.140.36-0.22-0.0466015.416.2-0.7912.314.9-2.53
Brendan Haywood51490.110.39-0.280.08111-1016.216.00.2814.814.30.47

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Ager76-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-162010.414.9-4.4528.015.312.71
DeSagana Diop3232-0.02-0.480.46-0.113-151814.714.40.3116.316.00.36
Trenton Hassell5251-0.08-0.420.35-0.194-162014.215.0-0.7816.815.31.54
Jose Juan Barea2421-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-131413.315.0-1.6219.415.14.29
Josh Howard4849-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-7215.313.81.5516.515.70.81
Juwan Howard2626-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-10814.114.7-0.5917.615.52.09
Devin Harris5152-0.20-0.300.090.00-7-5-214.514.6-0.1715.317.1-1.86
Brandon Bass2625-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.03-8-4-413.814.8-1.0217.215.71.55
Erick Dampier3735-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-4-414.814.40.4314.217.2-3.01
Dirk Nowitzki6968-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.09-9-3-614.913.71.1815.816.9-1.06
Jason Terry4240-0.40-0.10-0.300.04-153-1815.613.71.8415.116.9-1.81
Jerry Stackhouse6160-0.40-0.10-0.300.13-186-2414.414.8-0.3414.419.2-4.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 103, GSW 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,094.7%
CLE 112, GSW 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.4%
DAL 94, NJN 780.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.3%