NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	7.1 [370]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +25.6%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	14.6 [121]		LVP	Ronald Murray (DET): -11.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.06	0.19	-0.01	18	55%	0.27	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Tayshaun Prince	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.18	0.09	0.12	0.03	15	69%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Maxiell	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	58%	0.08	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	20	49%	0.05	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	12	58%	0.06	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	13	56%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.14,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.01	17	54%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.04	0.02	24	58%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.04
Patrick O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	17	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	15	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	29.6	16.4	24.3	2.5	32.3	133.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +48.6%

DET +13.0%

DET +5.5%

GSW -17.5%

DET +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	GSW	NBA	DET	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	14.0	15.4	114.4	107.2	105.7
season	16.8	13.5		108.8	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.8		107.9	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	15.0	15.0	15.9	15.7
GSW	13.3	15.0	13.8	14.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	74	73	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.33	16	-9	25	15.6	15.8	-0.16	14.0	14.2	-0.24
Rasheed Wallace	63	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	0	7	15.9	15.2	0.74	14.0	14.1	-0.09
Ronald Murray	82	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-3	13	15.5	16.3	-0.72	14.5	11.2	3.32
Richard Hamilton	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	15.9	14.5	1.40	14.1	13.9	0.16
Jason Maxiell	87	88	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	4	-1	15.7	14.9	0.85	14.2	12.6	1.63
Amir Johnson	21	21	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.19	8	-1	9	13.7	16.2	-2.48	15.8	13.5	2.27
Arron Afflalo	18	20	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	6	-5	14.4	15.9	-1.49	13.8	14.1	-0.29
Lindsey Hunter	15	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	16.3	15.5	0.72	11.2	14.5	-3.32
Nazr Mohammed	22	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	11	-15	16.1	15.5	0.62	11.7	14.6	-2.92
Jarvis Hayes	26	26	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.07	-8	15	-23	16.0	15.5	0.46	14.1	14.0	0.12

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	66	66	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.07	12	-19	31	12.8	16.6	-3.79	16.0	14.9	1.06
Patrick O'Bryant	10	10	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-9	11	12.2	14.2	-2.04	16.3	15.6	0.71
Brandan Wright	11	11	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-6	5	19.3	13.4	5.91	13.2	16.0	-2.79
Marco Belinelli	8	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-2	-3	17.2	13.7	3.51	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Al Harrington	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-6	5	13.4	16.4	-2.98	16.2	13.6	2.59
Kelenna Azubuike	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.0	0.0	14.03	15.7	0.0	15.66
Baron Davis	90	91	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.29	-9	2	-11	14.1	13.0	1.11	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Monta Ellis	53	50	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	7	-21	14.1	14.0	0.10	15.2	16.2	-1.03
Andris Biedrins	73	74	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.36	-12	5	-17	14.8	11.8	2.92	15.5	16.3	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.59,0.4,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	90.6%
ATL 107, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.47,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.15,0.01,0	90.4%
NJN 86, CHI 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.04,0	90.2%