NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	6.5 [527]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +13.4%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	15.3 [37]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -13.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.04	0.10	0.01	17	57%	0.22	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	54%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.06
Clifford Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	21	39%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.17	-0.02	0.01	13	82%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	18	67%	0.18	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	3	25%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.10	-0.03	20	41%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	28.2	19.8	29.2	3.4	42.4	150.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +14.8%

NJN +3.0%

NJN +30.3%

NJN +7.0%

CHI -5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	15.0	15.4	95.6	91.2	104.5
season	15.4	14.5		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	16.8	16.3	18.3	16.8
CHI	14.7	15.9	15.0	14.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	79	81	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.38	8	-5	13	16.6	18.8	-2.26	14.7	17.4	-2.70
Richard Jefferson	80	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	16.9	16.4	0.49	14.9	15.6	-0.67
Mikki Moore	70	69	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-2	7	16.6	17.7	-1.18	15.7	13.0	2.70
Jason Kidd	82	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-2	7	16.4	21.2	-4.85	15.0	14.6	0.45
Bostjan Nachbar	45	47	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	-1	5	18.5	15.2	3.36	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Eddie House	37	39	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	3	-3	16.3	17.2	-0.86	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Jason Collins	27	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	7	-11	15.2	17.5	-2.35	15.7	14.7	0.92
Hassan Adams	7	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	6	-9	16.6	16.9	-0.28	17.2	14.8	2.47
Clifford Robinson	23	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.07	-6	9	-15	19.5	15.9	3.55	14.1	15.3	-1.27

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	30	29	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.10	7	-10	17	14.1	15.4	-1.29	19.2	15.7	3.50
Viktor Khryapa	28	27	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.01	8	-11	19	14.5	15.2	-0.77	18.7	16.0	2.72
Adrian Griffin	6	7	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.00	3	-6	9	18.7	14.7	3.93	19.7	16.6	3.12
Chris Duhon	54	52	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-3	3	15.2	14.8	0.41	16.2	17.7	-1.56
Andres Nocioni	63	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	14.7	15.6	-0.93	16.4	18.0	-1.56
Ben Gordon	69	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	1	-5	14.5	16.5	-1.92	17.3	15.4	1.94
Kirk Hinrich	79	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	14.9	15.8	-0.96	16.6	18.4	-1.74
Ben Wallace	56	55	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.35	-14	11	-25	15.9	13.5	2.41	16.0	18.1	-2.10
Luol Deng	70	69	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.51	-9	6	-15	15.3	14.1	1.11	16.1	19.2	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.83,0.84,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.53,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, OKC 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.46,0.19,0.07,0.15,0.05,0	92.8%
WAS 77, NOH 70	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	91.3%
NOH 98, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.72,0.59,0.66,0.47,0.25,0.29,0.14,0.01,0	91.2%