NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	99		Excitement	8.0 [227]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +41.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	102		Comeback	1.6 [791]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (MEM): -21.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.41	0.16	0.26	0.01	15	72%	0.44	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.08	0.02	16	46%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Casey Jacobsen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	42%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
Brian Cardinal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.14,-0.19	0.02	-0.20	0.00	14	57%	-0.02	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	5	60%	0.01	4	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.29	0.29	0.06	0.22	-0.00	12	58%	0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.18	-0.02	23	62%	0.42	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.06
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	9	68%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	14	62%	0.18	2	-0.11	9	56%	-0.05
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	4	40%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	12	25%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	0.01	11	42%	0.10	5	-0.24	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	25.3	15.8	23.1	2.5	33.4	129.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +43.7%

MIL +2.3%

MIL +3.3%

MIL +1.0%

MEM -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIL	NBA	MEM	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.3	15.4	107.6	112.1	105.7
season	14.9	15.8		103.3	103.4
opponent	15.2	14.9		110.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.6	15.0	15.5	16.8	15.1
MIL	14.6	17.8	16.5	16.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	31	31	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.08	9	-12	21	16.7	14.4	2.32	17.6	15.7	1.88
Damon Stoudamire	31	31	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-6	9	14.1	15.7	-1.53	16.5	16.3	0.17
Juan Carlos Navarro	16	17	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-4	5	15.1	15.2	-0.10	17.7	16.0	1.68
Casey Jacobsen	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.13	2	-5	7	12.9	15.9	-2.97	17.3	16.0	1.23
Brian Cardinal	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-3	3	19.1	14.4	4.77	14.9	16.6	-1.76
Pau Gasol	62	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-3	3	14.6	16.2	-1.62	17.1	14.9	2.23
Stromile Swift	30	31	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	7	-17	14.4	15.5	-1.05	15.0	17.0	-2.08
Darko Milicic	67	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	3	-9	15.2	15.1	0.08	16.2	16.7	-0.46
Rudy Gay	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.36	-3	0	-3	15.7	12.4	3.27	16.1	17.5	-1.43
Mike Miller	66	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	1	-5	14.6	16.5	-1.95	16.4	16.3	0.12
Kyle Lowry	43	43	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	4	-11	15.7	14.7	0.96	15.3	17.2	-1.88

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yi Jianlian	64	64	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.33	18	-15	33	16.3	16.4	-0.04	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Desmond Mason	60	62	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.36	14	-11	25	15.8	17.3	-1.44	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Michael Redd	81	81	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-9	21	16.3	16.7	-0.40	15.3	14.1	1.19
Mo Williams	74	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-1	5	16.0	17.7	-1.68	15.2	15.1	0.10
Andrew Bogut	76	78	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-2	7	16.2	16.9	-0.71	15.6	12.9	2.69
Dan Gadzuric	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	5	-7	16.9	16.2	0.71	12.9	15.6	-2.69
Bobby Simmons	25	24	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	12	-21	18.1	15.7	2.45	14.0	15.5	-1.49
Charlie Bell	33	33	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	15	-27	16.7	16.1	0.56	15.7	14.8	0.82
Charlie Villanueva	27	28	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.09	-15	18	-33	16.4	16.3	0.04	15.6	15.0	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 89, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.84,0.85,1	91.9%
LAL 111, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	91.6%
NOH 77, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.84,0.96,1	91.6%