NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	89		Excitement	8.5 [193]		MVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): +26.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.6 [743]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -17.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.26	0.12	0.16	0.01	9	78%	0.29	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Ray Allen	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	27	48%	0.13	3	-0.09	7	86%	-0.07
Andre Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	8	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.04
Mike Wilks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	14	36%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	15	37%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.02,0.23	0.23	-0.01	0.23	-0.01	7	61%	0.31	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.04	0.13	-0.00	13	38%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	7	68%	0.06	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.07
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	12	61%	0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.14,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	21	50%	0.13	6	-0.25	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.7	25.0	15.0	25.2	2.6	36.3	130.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +78.2%

SEA -13.6%

PHI +15.4%

SEA -27.9%

SEA -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHI	NBA	SEA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.4	97.8	101.1	104.5
season	15.4	15.5		105.5	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.2	16.5	15.5	15.6	16.0
PHI	13.2	15.5	15.8	18.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	46	46	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-10	17	15.5	16.5	-1.05	15.9	15.4	0.49
Andre Brown	6	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-6	9	13.0	16.2	-3.19	14.9	15.7	-0.88
Mickael Gelabale	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-3	3	0.0	16.0	-15.98	20.0	15.6	4.38
Mike Wilks	11	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	21.4	15.2	6.13	12.9	16.0	-3.11
Damien Wilkins	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.52	11	-14	25	16.0	16.0	0.04	16.4	15.1	1.26
Earl Watson	80	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-2	1	15.2	21.4	-6.13	16.0	12.9	3.11
Johan Petro	46	45	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	7	-17	17.6	14.3	3.30	13.8	17.5	-3.74
Ray Allen	78	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	4	-11	15.5	18.8	-3.35	15.8	14.7	1.13
Rashard Lewis	83	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	3	-9	16.1	14.7	1.35	15.9	13.6	2.35
Nick Collison	66	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	7	-17	15.9	16.2	-0.36	15.9	15.1	0.81

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-4	11	15.8	13.5	2.32	15.8	18.5	-2.70
Andre Miller	75	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-6	15	15.3	17.3	-1.99	15.9	16.3	-0.43
Kyle Korver	60	60	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	2	-1	16.0	15.0	1.02	16.6	14.8	1.73
Samuel Dalembert	77	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	-4	11	15.5	16.6	-1.15	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Joe Smith	44	44	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.48	-7	10	-17	16.2	15.2	1.03	16.0	16.0	-0.05
Steven Hunter	61	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-3	9	15.5	16.0	-0.49	16.1	15.7	0.40
Kevin Ollie	6	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	5	-7	17.8	15.5	2.32	16.4	16.0	0.45
Lou Williams	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	7	-11	17.0	15.5	1.49	16.3	15.9	0.36
Willie Green	37	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	5	-7	14.8	16.3	-1.54	15.4	16.4	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.67,0.81,0.64,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, HOU 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.72,0.85,0.84,1	93.6%
CHI 78, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.55,0.57,0.83,1	92.7%
DEN 108, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.83,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.82,0.75,0.55,0.76,0.63,1	92.3%