NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	5.0 [790]		MVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): +18.5%
Indiana Pacers	89		Comeback	1.8 [283]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -24.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.20	0.03	0.05	20	73%	0.22	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	69%	0.15	5	-0.12	8	100%	0.05
Tim Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.01	0.07	11	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.06	13	41%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.04
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	4	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Dan Dickau	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	2	12%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04
Paul Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	16	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	14	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	14	45%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	50%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.08	0.03	17	40%	-0.10	5	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.0	32.2	15.7	29.2	2.7	28.0	135.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +20.6%

LAC +8.3%

LAC +22.8%

IND -3.4%

LAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	13.8	15.4	103.0	89.9	105.7
season	15.6	13.8		99.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.0	13.8	14.2	20.1	15.0
IND	14.2	12.4	15.2	13.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	92	92	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.09	25	-10	35	15.2	12.8	2.43	13.8	13.3	0.55
Corey Maggette	80	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.25	28	-13	41	14.0	18.8	-4.76	13.8	13.7	0.11
Sam Cassell	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.27	24	-9	33	14.8	15.3	-0.47	13.9	13.6	0.24
Tim Thomas	73	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	-1	17	14.4	16.6	-2.24	13.8	13.7	0.09
Quinton Ross	59	57	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	17	-19	15.2	14.7	0.47	14.1	13.5	0.60
Al Thornton	55	53	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	20	-25	15.7	14.2	1.46	13.1	14.6	-1.55
Cuttino Mobley	11	12	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	7	1	14.4	15.1	-0.70	15.0	13.6	1.37
Dan Dickau	30	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.27	-8	23	-31	16.1	14.5	1.63	13.9	13.8	0.13
Ruben Patterson	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	15	-15	16.8	14.8	1.96	12.4	13.9	-1.49
Paul Davis	27	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.29	-11	26	-37	15.9	14.7	1.18	14.1	13.7	0.38

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	32	34	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.12	9	-24	33	12.4	14.5	-2.06	13.8	15.6	-1.76
Andre Owens	12	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	12.9	13.9	-1.00	19.4	14.5	4.89
Kareem Rush	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	10.0	14.1	-4.09	20.7	14.6	6.04
Travis Diener	25	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-18	21	13.2	14.0	-0.75	12.1	16.1	-4.04
David Harrison	35	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-17	19	14.4	13.5	0.98	14.5	15.3	-0.74
Troy Murphy	46	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-11	7	14.4	13.3	1.07	13.3	16.5	-3.28
Jeff Foster	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-4	-7	14.0	13.6	0.49	16.1	14.0	2.12
Jermaine O'Neal	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	3	-21	13.2	14.7	-1.60	15.1	14.8	0.31
Danny Granger	74	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	2	-19	13.6	14.4	-0.81	14.5	16.8	-2.32
Mike Dunleavy	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	2	-19	14.4	12.4	2.01	16.3	12.2	4.10
Marquis Daniels	27	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-6	-3	14.4	13.6	0.84	15.0	15.0	0.07
Jamaal Tinsley	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.20	-22	7	-29	14.3	13.1	1.23	15.5	14.2	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 97, CHH 87	0.5,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
BOS 95, MIN 78	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
TOR 104, ATL 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%