NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	97		Excitement	4.7 [860]		MVP	Erick Barkley (POR): +6.1%
Charlotte Hornets	87		Comeback	2.0 [559]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -17.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Barkley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.07	15	68%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	15	50%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	-0.06	0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	14	54%	-0.00	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.02	0.07	13	66%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.03	0.05	9	69%	-0.04	2	-0.02	8	37%	-0.07
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	17	38%	-0.07	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	28.2	16.4	28.9	1.8	27.2	126.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.8%

POR +18.9%

CHH -16.2%

POR +17.3%

POR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHH	NBA	POR	CHH	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.6	110.2	100.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.9		105.0	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	16.4	13.1	20.9	16.0
CHH	16.3	16.4	18.7	15.9	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	67	65	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.03	25	-15	40	15.8	16.9	-1.14	17.4	15.4	2.04
Rasheed Wallace	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.06	20	-10	30	15.2	19.4	-4.22	18.4	10.8	7.61
Derek Anderson	66	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-6	22	15.6	17.5	-1.89	17.7	14.7	2.98
Bonzi Wells	58	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-8	26	15.9	16.2	-0.25	18.1	14.4	3.67
Erick Barkley	36	37	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	3	4	14.4	17.2	-2.83	18.4	15.8	2.55
Rick Brunson	54	51	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	11	-12	17.4	13.8	3.60	15.5	18.8	-3.32
Ruben Patterson	30	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.27	-8	18	-26	16.2	15.9	0.25	14.4	18.1	-3.67
Steve Kerr	20	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	12	-14	16.8	15.8	1.06	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Zach Randolph	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	20.2	15.8	4.42	6.8	17.5	-10.70
Shawn Kemp	17	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	13	-16	18.6	15.4	3.17	16.1	17.1	-1.05
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	17	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.25	-15	25	-40	16.9	15.8	1.05	12.4	17.9	-5.53

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	12	13	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-15	20	15.3	17.1	-1.80	13.2	16.5	-3.29
Bryce Drew	11	11	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-12	14	16.3	17.0	-0.70	19.2	15.6	3.60
Matt Bullard	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-7	4	19.4	16.4	2.95	17.0	15.9	1.15
David Wesley	65	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-10	10	17.3	15.6	1.67	16.2	15.6	0.53
Elden Campbell	62	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-6	2	16.7	17.4	-0.72	17.4	12.6	4.74
Stacey Augmon	19	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-3	-4	14.9	17.4	-2.48	16.6	15.9	0.73
Jamal Mashburn	74	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-9	8	17.0	16.3	0.68	16.1	15.7	0.43
Robert Traylor	22	21	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	0	-10	16.4	17.1	-0.70	15.0	16.4	-1.36
Lee Nailon	16	16	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	2	-14	17.0	16.9	0.14	14.6	16.4	-1.80
P.J. Brown	64	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	17.0	16.5	0.49	15.4	17.8	-2.37
Baron Davis	76	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	2	-14	17.0	16.3	0.70	15.6	19.2	-3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 109, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAC 109, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.7%
NYK 73, UTA 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.7%