inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 105 Excitement6.9 [405] MVPRashard Lewis (ORL): +29.7%
Toronto Raptors 96 Comeback1.1 [511] LVPAnthony Parker (TOR): -7.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.300,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.140.14-0.011673%0.382-0.081100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.16,0.16-0.010.14-0.03762%0.213-0.05250%-0.00
Keith Bogans0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.10.100.030.021263%0.1000.003100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0.020,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.020.04-0.02-0.001857%0.093-0.07683%0.04
Adonal Foyle0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01275%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.04-0.01533%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Bo Outlaw0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.011257%0.084-0.09650%-0.04
Carlos Arroyo-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00350%0.043-0.092100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.060.060.01667%0.1200.003100%0.01
Chris Bosh0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.12-0.000.011559%0.141-0.0314100%0.07
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.050.050.040.01-0.00957%0.071-0.03367%-0.01
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.030.030.010.030.001346%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.051-0.022100%0.02
Jorge Garbajosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011141%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.030.00538%-0.0400.00333%-0.02
Andrea Bargnani0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.031843%0.103-0.1510%-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.0040%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Anthony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02617%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.81.830.117.527.92.032.2139.4
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +75.4%
TOR -11.9%
TOR -1.3%
TOR -13.7%
ORL +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLTORNBAORLTORNBA
this game15.714.115.4108.2100.0105.7
season15.115.6109.9108.5
opponent15.715.6105.6104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.016.017.315.815.7
TOR14.312.814.115.514.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Bogans75760.73-0.230.960.1719-102915.516.2-0.6814.313.60.68
Dwight Howard69710.70-0.200.890.3412-31514.618.3-3.6814.513.11.43
Hedo Turkoglu91900.460.040.420.2863315.617.5-1.9214.312.31.92
Jameer Nelson61610.360.140.220.1672514.817.2-2.4614.413.70.66
Rashard Lewis78800.320.180.140.2045-115.616.3-0.7614.114.4-0.29
Carlos Arroyo36350.140.36-0.220.0827-517.214.82.4613.714.4-0.66
Trevor Ariza970.100.40-0.300.0718-716.015.70.3315.014.10.93
Pat Garrity660.040.46-0.42-0.0536-317.515.61.9212.314.3-1.92
Bo Outlaw32-0.040.54-0.590.02-211-1318.715.63.064.514.3-9.84
Keyon Dooling3229-0.150.65-0.800.03-615-2116.315.40.9613.714.3-0.64
Adonal Foyle2523-0.150.65-0.81-0.12-110-1118.314.83.4713.814.2-0.41

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon37380.08-0.580.650.051-101114.813.71.1417.314.72.65
Anthony Parker6060-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-101113.615.1-1.5215.316.4-1.10
Rasho Nesterovic910-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-3-313.914.2-0.2715.915.70.22
Chris Bosh7878-0.19-0.310.12-0.221-101114.114.5-0.4515.616.1-0.50
Andrea Bargnani7172-0.20-0.300.11-0.314-131713.914.8-0.8415.316.7-1.37
Jorge Garbajosa99-0.20-0.300.10-0.02-6-3-316.113.92.1816.315.60.70
Kris Humphries1514-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-4-114.014.2-0.1617.115.51.60
Juan Dixon3032-0.24-0.260.02-0.06-6-3-314.414.00.4315.815.60.21
Jason Kapono7069-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.16-5-4-113.815.2-1.4015.117.1-1.98
Carlos Delfino4243-0.500.00-0.50-0.09-145-1915.613.02.5517.114.62.58
T.J. Ford5960-0.550.05-0.61-0.26-101-1113.714.8-1.1414.717.2-2.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.29,0.03,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 105, ORL 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.1,0,092.0%
GSW 101, WAS 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.22,0.01,0.02,091.5%
LAL 130, PHX 1240.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.11,0.01,091.1%