NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	7.1 [352]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +19.4%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	2.2 [915]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -8.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	9	68%	0.17	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	11	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	17	53%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Craig Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Gerald Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	5	87%	0.19	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.01	15	63%	0.30	5	-0.17	8	87%	0.04
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	9	65%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.05
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.10
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	18	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	29.2	17.7	24.3	2.3	35.4	134.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +7.4%

NYK +37.0%

NYK +8.4%

NYK +1.2%

MIN -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	17.4	15.3	15.4	105.7	110.2	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		102.2	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.0		109.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.3	19.3	18.5	16.4	17.4
NYK	17.4	12.0	14.2	17.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	1	2	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-6	8	1.0	17.6	-16.61	4.5	15.6	-11.06
Ryan Gomes	65	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.39	9	-13	22	17.9	16.0	1.86	15.5	14.8	0.65
Rashad McCants	42	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-2	0	16.7	18.0	-1.31	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Corey Brewer	15	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	14.9	17.9	-3.08	16.6	15.0	1.53
Antoine Walker	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	1	-6	17.0	17.5	-0.46	13.7	15.5	-1.71
Sebastian Telfair	66	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-9	14	17.8	16.3	1.53	15.4	15.0	0.47
Al Jefferson	67	66	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-9	14	18.0	15.5	2.49	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Marko Jaric	22	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	5	-14	16.3	17.8	-1.53	15.0	15.4	-0.47
Theo Ratliff	61	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	0	-4	17.0	18.4	-1.48	15.5	14.8	0.71
Craig Smith	42	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	3	-10	17.8	17.1	0.65	15.4	15.3	0.10
Greg Buckner	51	50	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	7	-18	18.0	16.6	1.33	15.1	15.5	-0.39

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Renaldo Balkman	33	34	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.01	19	-15	34	12.9	16.8	-3.88	17.8	17.2	0.56
Zach Randolph	60	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.58	-3	7	-10	16.2	13.5	2.70	17.0	18.4	-1.48
Jamal Crawford	77	76	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	3	-2	15.9	11.3	4.61	17.2	18.8	-1.64
Eddy Curry	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	3	-2	16.4	12.5	3.89	17.9	16.3	1.54
David Lee	52	52	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.10	12	-8	20	13.3	18.2	-4.98	17.4	17.4	0.01
Nate Robinson	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	-6	16	14.1	15.9	-1.82	17.5	17.4	0.05
Stephon Marbury	71	71	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.38	-8	12	-20	15.2	15.6	-0.35	17.6	16.8	0.81
Quentin Richardson	53	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.48	-12	16	-28	16.5	13.5	2.93	17.3	17.6	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.53,0.76,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 82, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1	92.7%
HOU 85, LAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1	92.3%
LAL 106, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	92.2%