NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	6.4 [528]		MVP	Dan Majerle (PHX): +13.0%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	2.3 [198]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -29.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.10	0,0,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	-0.00	0.06	9	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.04	-0.06	20	60%	0.12	5	-0.07	20	90%	0.07
Samaki Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.13	-0.14	0.02	21	42%	-0.25	1	-0.04	15	27%	-0.21

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.01	6	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	21	67%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	4	73%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	11	68%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	92%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	21	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	30.3	15.7	27.0	1.8	36.2	139.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.1%

PHX +22.0%

LAL -3.8%

LAL -4.8%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.6	115.2	125.5	102.3
season	15.3	15.1		106.9	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	16.9	16.3	14.4	16.0
PHX	13.6	13.8	15.7	16.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	62	64	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-9	6	16.1	15.9	0.21	15.0	15.0	0.00
Samaki Walker	17	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-7	2	16.6	15.9	0.78	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Rick Fox	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-8	4	16.3	15.5	0.77	15.0	14.9	0.18
Robert Horry	66	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	16.5	14.7	1.84	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Slava Medvedenko	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-8	4	13.9	16.5	-2.57	15.8	14.7	1.10
Kobe Bryant	77	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-9	6	16.0	16.2	-0.23	15.0	14.6	0.44
Lindsey Hunter	21	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-2	-8	16.0	16.0	0.05	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Brian Shaw	24	24	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-4	-4	15.9	16.0	-0.13	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Devean George	37	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-6	0	15.2	16.5	-1.33	15.1	14.9	0.14
Shaquille O'Neal	79	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	1	-14	16.1	15.6	0.46	15.0	14.8	0.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	46	44	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-5	22	15.2	14.8	0.40	15.8	16.2	-0.46
Shawn Marion	93	91	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-3	18	14.9	18.0	-3.06	16.1	10.0	6.08
Dan Majerle	62	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-3	18	14.2	16.4	-2.18	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Jake Tsakalidis	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.07	11	1	10	14.8	15.5	-0.70	16.3	15.2	1.12
Milt Palacio	12	12	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	3	6	11.7	15.5	-3.78	18.5	15.6	2.86
Alton Ford	27	25	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	4	4	14.3	15.2	-0.94	16.3	15.9	0.37
Stephon Marbury	86	82	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	10	-8	15.4	10.2	5.16	15.7	18.9	-3.24
Joe Johnson	50	51	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	20	-28	15.1	14.8	0.24	15.9	16.2	-0.29
Bo Outlaw	25	23	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.11	-9	21	-30	17.6	14.0	3.64	16.0	16.0	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 104, BOS 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	93.1%
PHX 100, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	92.7%
WAS 108, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.96,1	92.6%