NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	85		Excitement	6.7 [455]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +14.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	2.0 [748]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -24.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	23	57%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	83%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	12	59%	0.07	5	-0.17	5	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.02	15	42%	-0.03	5	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.15	-0.10	-0.00	15	20%	-0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	4	112%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	12	59%	0.06	6	-0.15	10	100%	0.04
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	13	37%	-0.07	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.01	19	52%	-0.01	6	-0.17	12	75%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.05	-0.01	17	41%	-0.09	4	-0.12	10	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.7	31.2	21.4	30.5	4.3	40.7	158.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +6.5%

LAL +9.5%

LAL +40.2%

HOU -7.2%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.2	15.7	85.9	93.0	100.5
season	16.5	15.4		98.8	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		99.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	17.0	13.0	13.8	14.8
LAL	14.9	14.3	14.7	12.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	9.0	14.9	-5.95	2.7	14.5	-11.87
Mark Jackson	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-6	4	17.4	14.4	3.01	13.7	14.2	-0.58
Charles Oakley	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-6	4	13.7	15.0	-1.21	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Maurice Taylor	50	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-8	8	13.9	15.6	-1.71	15.1	13.2	1.91
Yao Ming	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-3	-2	15.6	12.9	2.70	14.8	12.9	1.83
Cuttino Mobley	93	93	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-5	2	14.7	15.8	-1.13	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Eric Piatkowski	20	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	2	-12	17.5	14.1	3.42	15.0	14.0	1.02
Jim Jackson	85	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-5	2	14.2	18.2	-4.01	14.0	15.2	-1.21
Steve Francis	87	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	14.4	17.4	-3.01	14.2	13.7	0.58
Clar. Weatherspoon	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	2	-12	15.0	14.3	0.75	13.4	15.3	-1.89

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	90	89	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-5	18	14.6	10.1	4.53	15.2	10.8	4.41
Devean George	34	34	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.07	16	-8	24	15.1	13.7	1.33	16.5	13.9	2.59
Kobe Bryant	95	94	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	14.0	17.4	-3.39	14.6	18.2	-3.61
Derek Fisher	26	27	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	0	8	14.4	14.1	0.33	16.7	14.0	2.71
Gary Payton	81	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	14.2	14.2	0.03	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Slava Medvedenko	23	24	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	3	2	14.6	14.1	0.50	16.5	14.2	2.29
Karl Malone	80	78	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	9	-10	14.6	12.6	1.98	14.3	16.7	-2.41
Brian Cook	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	2.5	14.7	-12.17	8.7	15.0	-6.27
Luke Walton	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	2.7	14.5	-11.87	9.0	14.9	-5.95
Rick Fox	64	63	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.15	-10	18	-28	13.9	14.7	-0.89	13.8	16.4	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.51,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.95,1,0.97,1,1	93.2%
CLE 82, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.0%
MIA 91, CHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.95,1	92.3%