inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 80 Excitement3.2 [1148] MVPCharles Hayes (HOU): +4.9%
Houston Rockets 89 Comeback1.0 [1267] LVPJames Jones (POR): -9.4%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Blake0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.023100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Roy0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.100.010.091856%0.0200.005100%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00460%0.022-0.032100%0.01
Taurean Green-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Channing Frye-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Martell Webster-0.060,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.001350%0.004-0.07475%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.030.000.041653%-0.014-0.066100%0.02
Travis Outlaw-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.01729%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Jarrett Jack-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.03520%-0.033-0.0500%0.00
James Jones-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.130.00-0.0340%-0.033-0.0600%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.021453%0.0400.004100%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.011752%0.053-0.03683%-0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01944%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01736%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.01-0.041036%0.011-0.0220%-0.01
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03835%-0.022-0.0210%-0.01
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.022342%-0.012-0.032100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.22.528.415.422.21.834.3126.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +29.6%
POR -5.9%
HOU +9.0%
HOU +16.3%
HOU +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORHOUNBAPORHOUNBA
this game14.716.115.485.195.7105.7
season16.716.2105.5104.6
opponent15.215.4100.3106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.514.115.813.314.7
HOU15.115.315.518.816.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Channing Frye3332-0.02-0.480.46-0.237-162314.215.0-0.7416.316.00.34
LaMarcus Aldridge6565-0.14-0.350.21-0.233-121514.515.2-0.7516.415.50.83
Taurean Green66-0.15-0.350.200.11-90-917.314.52.8215.316.2-0.84
James Jones2424-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-2-516.014.31.7015.616.3-0.72
Jarrett Jack5049-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.11-5-4-114.814.60.2315.516.8-1.24
Martell Webster7069-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-7514.316.0-1.7016.315.60.72
Steve Blake4950-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.12-6-3-314.614.8-0.2916.715.51.21
Brandon Roy8381-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.362-111314.516.0-1.4816.215.70.52
Travis Outlaw5049-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.12-8-1-714.714.7-0.0216.615.60.96
Joel Przybilla4040-0.47-0.03-0.450.11-2011-3115.514.11.3615.017.0-2.01

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luis Scola35370.390.110.29-0.0515-62117.015.61.4615.514.21.36
Tracy McGrady75750.380.120.270.2454115.717.9-2.2014.316.1-1.71
Yao Ming75750.370.130.240.0810-11115.917.0-1.0915.212.72.45
Shane Battier71710.320.180.140.2627-515.518.1-2.5814.515.1-0.58
Rafer Alston48500.290.210.09-0.0311-21314.617.8-3.1715.913.32.58
Bonzi Wells51510.220.28-0.060.28-211-1317.115.02.1313.516.1-2.63
Mike James45440.210.29-0.090.27-211-1317.814.63.1713.315.9-2.58
Charles Hayes47480.200.30-0.110.1427-515.716.6-0.9314.814.60.16
Luther Head18190.120.38-0.27-0.0045-117.915.72.2016.114.31.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 78, NYK 910.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
NOH 92, DAL 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,196.2%
LAL 100, HOU 1390.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%