NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	3.2 [1145]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +12.9%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	1.0 [1156]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -10.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.22	0.03	0.15	25	68%	0.15	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	20	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Devin Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.02	-0.06	22	52%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.04	15	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	86%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.02	-0.04	20	49%	0.08	1	-0.01	11	82%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	0.00	-0.05	6	19%	-0.04	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	31.5	16.6	25.2	1.7	35.3	136.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.2%

DAL +1.6%

DAL +15.9%

DAL +4.4%

DAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DAL	NBA	NOH	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.5	105.7	114.9	106.4
season	16.6	15.6		105.9	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		107.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.3	19.2	18.0	13.2	16.5
DAL	13.7	20.8	14.8	18.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	20	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.24	11	-19	30	17.1	16.3	0.84	20.5	15.4	5.13
Julian Wright	6	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-1	-6	21.0	16.2	4.83	16.6	16.6	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	63	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.39	8	-16	24	15.9	18.2	-2.35	17.1	15.3	1.79
Antonio Daniels	9	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	0	-8	20.7	16.0	4.64	21.0	16.2	4.85
Hilton Armstrong	14	16	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	3	-14	17.7	16.3	1.44	18.4	16.2	2.18
Devin Brown	26	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	4	-16	15.1	17.1	-1.98	17.8	16.1	1.71
Rasual Butler	61	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.37	4	-12	16	17.1	15.1	1.98	16.1	17.8	-1.71
David West	77	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-9	10	16.5	16.3	0.23	16.3	19.5	-3.20
Chris Paul	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-8	8	16.0	20.7	-4.64	16.2	21.0	-4.85
James Posey	37	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	6	-20	15.6	17.2	-1.54	15.8	17.2	-1.32
Melvin Ely	44	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	4	-16	16.8	16.2	0.68	14.5	18.6	-4.06

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	53	53	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.07	21	-13	34	15.0	19.1	-4.04	17.5	14.9	2.57
Josh Howard	58	61	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	2	4	15.7	18.4	-2.67	16.2	17.1	-0.87
Antoine Wright	44	42	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	-7	22	17.2	16.0	1.18	17.1	16.0	1.09
Jason Kidd	69	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	9	-10	15.3	21.6	-6.32	16.9	15.3	1.50
Jason Terry	68	68	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.35	-2	10	-12	17.1	14.6	2.52	16.3	17.3	-0.97
Dirk Nowitzki	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	9	-10	16.6	16.7	-0.18	16.1	17.8	-1.64
Jose Juan Barea	18	20	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-1	10	21.6	15.3	6.32	15.3	16.9	-1.50
Brandon Bass	48	49	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	15	-22	17.7	15.3	2.43	15.6	17.6	-2.00
James Singleton	9	7	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	8	-8	19.1	16.3	2.80	19.4	16.2	3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 78, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
UTA 91, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%