inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 85 Excitement9.2 [98] MVPKareem Rush (IND): +43.8%
Indiana Pacers 87 Comeback16.7 [116] LVPJamaal Tinsley (IND): -29.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daequan Cook0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.10.060.050.001271%0.203-0.1000%0.00
Mark Blount0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.030.01-0.011055%0.091-0.0500%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00847%0.031-0.04333%-0.03
Chris Quinn-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01850%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Ricky Davis-0.060,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.02-0.010.031345%-0.051-0.02333%-0.03
Jason Williams-0.240,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.18,-0.24-0.05-0.19-0.00833%-0.211-0.03250%-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal-0.270,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.21-0.070.001328%-0.086-0.1930%-0.05
Udonis Haslem-0.290,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29-0.18-0.12-0.012026%-0.232-0.06250%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.43,0.440.440.030.38-0.02560%0.4400.0000%0.00
Danny Granger0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.250.250.210.080.041389%0.281-0.03250%-0.01
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.02-0.00275%0.061-0.02450%-0.05
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.01-0.001262%0.082-0.062100%0.02
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00440%0.0000.002100%0.02
Andre Owens00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.02-0.02938%0.013-0.05875%-0.03
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.0120%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.04-0.070.021743%-0.052-0.0810%-0.02
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.13-0.10-0.0270%-0.211-0.0000%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.16-0.14-0.001219%-0.212-0.08250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.328.715.026.12.431.0128.8
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +47.7%
IND +16.5%
MIA -43.3%
IND +34.3%
MIA -5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game17.612.915.489.592.6105.7
season16.013.899.0104.5
opponent15.215.4105.6108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.816.018.319.417.6
IND13.212.812.213.312.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Quinn20210.25-0.751.000.076-81417.017.7-0.7213.712.61.07
Alonzo Mourning29290.10-0.600.70-0.045-71216.118.2-2.0614.412.22.26
Shaquille O'Neal55550.01-0.510.510.04-1-1018.516.22.3212.313.8-1.51
Dorell Wright6462-0.16-0.340.170.01-64-1017.916.81.1312.813.0-0.18
Mark Blount4244-0.23-0.270.05-0.468-101816.518.4-1.8313.812.11.72
Ricky Davis7068-0.23-0.270.04-0.385-71217.617.40.2312.813.0-0.16
Daequan Cook5758-0.620.12-0.73-0.44-64-1016.818.8-1.9913.012.70.31
Jason Williams7573-0.750.25-1.00-0.51-86-1417.717.00.7212.613.7-1.07
Udonis Haslem6360-0.870.37-1.24-0.49-1311-2418.316.12.2712.014.4-2.35

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kareem Rush19190.81-0.311.110.665-3813.912.61.2715.618.1-2.42
Jamaal Tinsley66650.75-0.251.010.4610-81811.915.2-3.2718.216.22.05
Danny Granger66680.70-0.200.900.3512-102212.414.0-1.5417.617.60.02
Mike Dunleavy74750.66-0.160.810.457-51212.215.5-3.3918.514.04.52
Jermaine O'Neal46470.300.200.100.107-51212.812.9-0.0718.916.32.54
David Harrison44420.290.210.080.49-79-1613.112.70.4316.418.5-2.17
Andre Owens34-0.000.50-0.510.02-13-417.312.74.6015.017.7-2.68
Ike Diogu5252-0.140.64-0.790.03-68-1413.212.50.6117.018.3-1.34
Marquis Daniels4646-0.170.67-0.850.00-68-1413.712.11.6816.019.0-3.04
Travis Diener2526-0.250.75-1.00-0.04-79-1614.912.12.7816.318.0-1.68
Jeff Foster2931-0.440.94-1.37-0.32-46-1013.012.80.1219.516.62.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 105, MIN 1120.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.73,190.6%
CHI 89, HOU 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.53,0.33,0.15,0.29,0.16,0.72,189.7%
DET 86, CHH 880.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.62,0.77,0.63,0.49,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.16,0.58,189.2%