NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	10.5 [43]		MVP	Antoine Wright (NJN): +40.0%
New Jersey Nets	112		Comeback	2.8 [453]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -21.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.07	0.18	-0.00	12	35%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07
Chris Duhon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.05	0.02	17	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.06	0.02	11	64%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	39%	0.03	1	-0.09	4	25%	-0.11
Tyrus Thomas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Ben Gordon	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.16	-0.05	25	47%	-0.03	6	-0.18	8	100%	0.08

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.14	0.25	-0.01	14	72%	0.42	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	15	69%	0.34	3	-0.12	12	100%	0.08
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	4	58%	0.01	3	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.19,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	21	44%	0.03	4	-0.23	12	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	30.9	1.6	32.5	15.7	29.2	2.7	36.0	1.6	17.3	167.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +44.1%

NJN +14.1%

NJN +9.5%

CHI -19.4%

NJN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.4	97.2	106.7	105.7
season	15.0	15.4		102.2	101.8
opponent	15.5	15.5		107.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	17.4	13.8	14.4	16.2	13.2	15.2
NJN	12.1	16.3	15.0	15.8	16.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	80	79	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-14	19	15.0	15.9	-0.91	14.2	17.3	-3.19
Tyrus Thomas	44	44	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-12	15	14.8	15.5	-0.73	16.0	14.2	1.86
Ben Wallace	77	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-15	21	15.1	15.4	-0.34	15.3	14.2	1.09
Joe Smith	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.8	14.0	2.74	13.4	16.1	-2.66
Kirk Hinrich	46	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	15.9	14.6	1.30	16.6	13.5	3.06
Thabo Sefolosha	22	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.16	-16	7	-23	16.2	14.9	1.24	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Chris Duhon	64	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	1	-11	14.5	16.3	-1.88	15.2	14.7	0.48
Andres Nocioni	45	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	3	-15	15.4	15.0	0.39	15.4	14.6	0.76
Ben Gordon	98	99	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-4	-1	14.9	18.6	-3.71	14.3	25.8	-11.55

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	92	92	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	14.8	16.0	-1.21	15.4	13.9	1.46
Antoine Wright	51	53	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	2	5	16.6	13.4	3.24	15.4	15.0	0.40
Bostjan Nachbar	38	41	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-8	25	15.4	14.7	0.67	15.2	15.2	-0.04
Jason Kidd	84	84	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	2	5	14.4	17.0	-2.63	14.8	16.9	-2.10
Josh Boone	19	20	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-1	11	13.5	15.3	-1.79	14.9	15.3	-0.31
Richard Jefferson	92	91	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	3	3	14.4	18.7	-4.28	15.3	14.8	0.46
Darrell Armstrong	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	2	5	15.4	14.8	0.56	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Jason Collins	52	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	18	-27	15.2	14.7	0.49	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Jamaal Magloire	20	22	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	5	-1	15.4	14.8	0.56	16.4	14.9	1.53
Malik Allen	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	12	-15	15.9	14.9	1.03	12.9	15.4	-2.51
Nenad Krstic	40	38	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	20	-31	14.7	15.1	-0.35	15.9	14.8	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.32,0.72,0.97,0.92,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 114, ORL 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.92,1	90.2%
PHI 105, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.68,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.89,0.97,0.95,0.85,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.85,0.73,1	87.6%
GSW 104, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.73,0.31,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.9,0.99,0.99,1	87.6%