NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	6.3 [569]		MVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): +26.7%
Orlando Magic	88		Comeback	1.4 [1193]		LVP	Delonte West (BOS): -35.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.27	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.00	20	67%	0.27	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Leon Powe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Allan Ray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.14	0.03	-0.17	0.01	9	64%	-0.08	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	10	27%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Delonte West	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.36	-0.00	-0.29	0.07	17	49%	-0.17	2	-0.18	5	80%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	59%	0.11	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	15	56%	0.10	4	-0.15	6	100%	0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.24	-0.24	0.00	-0.19	0.05	9	64%	-0.11	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.16	-0.03	8	36%	-0.19	5	-0.08	12	33%	-0.32

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.0	2.6	35.4	16.5	28.2	1.7	37.4	152.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +25.9%

BOS -6.4%

ORL +27.6%

BOS -1.1%

ORL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ORL	NBA	BOS	ORL	NBA
this game	15.5	16.3	15.4	95.6	96.7	104.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.7	103.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.0	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	17.0	16.2	13.4	15.5
ORL	15.5	13.0	16.5	20.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	47	48	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-6	10	14.2	16.8	-2.60	17.6	14.9	2.67
Allan Ray	32	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.41	11	-13	24	15.2	15.7	-0.50	16.2	16.4	-0.27
Sebastian Telfair	12	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	0	-2	22.5	14.4	8.10	11.6	17.1	-5.51
Leon Powe	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	1	-4	17.2	14.2	2.96	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Gerald Green	42	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	16.1	14.9	1.16	14.8	18.0	-3.19
Al Jefferson	68	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.44	7	-9	16	15.6	15.0	0.69	17.7	12.4	5.23
Rajon Rondo	82	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-1	0	14.8	22.1	-7.30	16.8	12.1	4.69
Delonte West	80	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	0	-2	14.8	21.2	-6.44	16.8	12.9	3.87
Ryan Gomes	48	48	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.20	-20	18	-38	15.3	15.7	-0.35	15.2	17.6	-2.40

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	81	78	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-11	24	15.5	22.8	-7.26	15.5	15.2	0.26
Keyon Dooling	28	29	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	1	0	15.0	17.0	-1.99	16.9	14.8	2.04
Jameer Nelson	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	-5	12	16.2	16.7	-0.47	14.8	17.2	-2.36
Grant Hill	64	63	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	0	2	16.7	15.5	1.17	14.5	17.7	-3.13
Hedo Turkoglu	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	3	-4	16.6	15.8	0.80	14.3	18.2	-3.87
Tony Battie	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	1	0	18.8	14.6	4.20	15.8	15.2	0.59
Darko Milicic	61	60	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.28	-6	8	-14	16.1	16.8	-0.73	15.8	14.8	0.97
Trevor Ariza	29	29	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.14	-2	4	-6	15.9	16.5	-0.65	17.4	14.5	2.91
Carlos Arroyo	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	7	-12	16.7	16.2	0.47	17.2	14.8	2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 62, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SEA 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NYK 94, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%