inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 104 Excitement4.1 [988] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +13.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 111 Comeback1.3 [1077] LVPGary Payton (SEA): -12.9%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ansu Sesay0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00667%0.0500.00367%-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.021560%0.051-0.0000%0.00
Jerome James0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00558%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Brent Barry0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.00963%0.052-0.0410%-0.02
Olumide Oyedeji-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Earl Watson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.02371%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Vin Baker-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.03750%-0.022-0.01475%0.01
Shammond Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.000.03540%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.011148%-0.041-0.00367%-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.00-0.010.05743%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Gary Payton-0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.030.021847%-0.073-0.06786%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.19-0.000.052177%0.213-0.071182%0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.00868%0.0900.003100%0.01
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.00-0.04658%0.0800.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01867%0.061-0.012100%0.01
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01671%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.01370%0.0400.00450%-0.01
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.04410%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.021653%-0.003-0.054100%0.01
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.0258%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.03.730.416.427.62.029.0132.2
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +39.3%
LAL +11.0%
LAL +3.8%
SEA -4.0%
SEA -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEALALNBASEALALNBA
this game16.114.215.6109.5116.8102.3
season16.015.3106.3106.9
opponent15.415.899.8103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA16.316.616.714.716.1
LAL15.012.712.117.314.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Olumide Oyedeji55-0.00-0.500.50-0.3211-182910.216.4-6.2422.813.79.08
Shammond Williams2931-0.03-0.470.44-0.3511-182915.116.6-1.4615.713.52.19
Earl Watson2423-0.10-0.400.29-0.286-131915.516.3-0.8215.713.71.97
Vin Baker5653-0.13-0.370.25-0.4210-172715.716.7-1.0714.314.10.19
Predrag Drobnjak5757-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-6515.816.6-0.7314.513.80.64
Ansu Sesay2931-0.17-0.330.170.07-81-915.416.4-0.9612.914.8-1.92
Vladimir Radmanovic4445-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.18-5-2-315.716.4-0.6814.813.71.06
Desmond Mason7575-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-114-1516.315.21.1013.815.6-1.77
Jerome James1919-0.39-0.11-0.280.11-1710-2720.814.95.8413.214.4-1.24
Gary Payton7576-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-136-1916.315.40.9114.014.9-0.93
Brent Barry6260-0.46-0.04-0.420.07-1811-2916.615.21.3813.116.1-2.99

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shaquille O'Neal68660.59-0.090.67-0.0923-163913.316.4-3.0316.614.91.71
Kobe Bryant60590.490.010.47-0.1020-133313.615.3-1.6717.314.23.05
Rick Fox53520.430.070.35-0.0416-92512.816.0-3.1416.415.80.55
Derek Fisher65650.320.180.140.1561513.416.0-2.6816.016.3-0.27
Samaki Walker55560.310.190.13-0.0111-41514.214.10.0916.315.80.50
Robert Horry43440.150.35-0.190.0443114.314.20.1016.515.80.63
Brian Shaw38380.120.38-0.260.30-613-1916.212.93.3115.616.5-0.85
Lindsey Hunter22220.100.40-0.300.25-512-1716.113.62.4615.616.3-0.62
Devean George47490.040.46-0.420.33-1017-2715.213.22.0515.217.1-1.93
Mark Madsen880.000.50-0.500.32-1118-2917.913.94.0112.716.4-3.68
Slava Medvedenko1616-0.050.55-0.610.33-1320-3315.713.91.8614.016.5-2.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 80, UTA 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
TOR 62, PHI 970.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
PHX 105, WAS 1270.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%