NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	3.9 [1068]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +10.1%
Boston Celtics	111		Comeback	1.6 [915]		LVP	Gary Payton (BOS): -8.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	63%	0.03	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Vin Baker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	15	52%	0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	57%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	18	57%	-0.02	4	-0.06	18	83%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.01	-0.03	10	77%	0.11	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.00	-0.09	19	60%	0.11	5	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	9	52%	-0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	30.3	16.4	28.5	2.5	31.6	136.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.0%

BOS +1.9%

BOS +6.6%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.3	15.5	96.9	115.6	104.0
season	15.8	14.4		103.9	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.3		104.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.1	19.9	15.8	13.0	15.5
BOS	13.0	12.9	15.5	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	38	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-15	13	14.8	16.0	-1.15	14.6	14.2	0.42
Jerome Williams	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-20	23	13.8	15.9	-2.05	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Vin Baker	13	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-14	11	18.4	15.1	3.31	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Nazr Mohammed	35	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-12	7	15.1	15.8	-0.67	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Jamison Brewer	9	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-9	1	21.1	14.9	6.17	11.0	14.7	-3.67
Jamal Crawford	40	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-11	5	15.7	15.4	0.40	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Stephon Marbury	88	87	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-8	-1	14.9	21.1	-6.17	14.7	11.0	3.67
Michael Sweetney	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-6	-5	15.6	15.5	0.09	14.8	13.7	1.08
Trevor Ariza	51	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-4	-9	15.3	15.8	-0.55	14.4	14.3	0.11
Kurt Thomas	75	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	1	-19	15.6	15.3	0.26	14.7	13.1	1.54
Anfernee Hardaway	65	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	-4	-9	16.0	14.6	1.42	14.2	14.6	-0.45

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-3	23	14.4	14.1	0.24	16.0	14.4	1.59
Raef LaFrentz	62	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-1	19	14.7	13.6	1.09	15.9	14.9	1.03
Gary Payton	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	3	11	14.7	13.6	1.14	15.6	15.4	0.25
Tony Allen	35	34	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	3	11	14.3	14.3	0.03	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Paul Pierce	60	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	4	9	14.1	14.7	-0.59	15.6	15.3	0.30
Jiri Welsch	36	34	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	13	-9	14.7	14.1	0.59	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Ricky Davis	61	63	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	14	-11	14.3	14.3	-0.03	15.6	15.4	0.25
Marcus Banks	25	27	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.07	7	10	-3	12.4	15.0	-2.55	16.4	15.2	1.29
Kendrick Perkins	35	36	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	18	-19	13.7	14.7	-1.05	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Tom Gugliotta	22	23	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	20	-23	13.0	14.7	-1.72	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Delonte West	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	16.5	14.1	2.43	12.1	15.9	-3.75
Justin Reed	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	20.2	14.1	6.18	6.7	15.8	-9.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, MIL 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
HOU 85, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
WAS 94, PHI 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%