NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	3.9 [1040]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (MIL): +26.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	115		Comeback	1.6 [957]		LVP	Jeff Green (OKC): -10.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ White	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	13	63%	0.15	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.07	7	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	47%	0.00	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Robert Swift	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Weaver	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	-0.07	4	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Green	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	12	29%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.04	-0.01	21	73%	0.28	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.20	0.02	0.07	8	112%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	4	87%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	8	38%	0.03	1	-0.00	10	60%	-0.05
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.10	19	35%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.05	2	83%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	27.4	16.3	25.3	1.5	23.4	118.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.8%

OKC -3.1%

OKC -0.9%

MIL +7.2%

MIL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIL	NBA	OKC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.9	15.5	99.0	117.3	106.4
season	14.9	15.0		100.5	104.9
opponent	15.6	15.1		105.6	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.7	16.4	18.6	13.2	15.3
MIL	14.0	14.2	13.3	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Swift	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	13.8	15.6	-1.81	13.7	13.9	-0.25
Shaun Livingston	52	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-15	13	14.7	16.0	-1.35	14.3	13.5	0.79
DJ White	53	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-14	11	15.8	14.8	0.99	14.1	13.7	0.39
Malik Rose	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-11	5	15.3	15.3	-0.02	14.4	13.7	0.67
Earl Watson	64	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-11	5	14.7	16.5	-1.74	14.1	13.6	0.50
Nenad Krstic	39	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-4	-9	16.8	14.4	2.45	13.9	13.9	0.09
Russell Westbrook	54	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-5	-7	15.4	15.2	0.24	13.5	14.4	-0.93
Jeff Green	57	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	-2	-13	15.5	15.2	0.29	13.6	14.3	-0.76
Kevin Durant	59	57	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	0.02	-16	-1	-15	15.4	15.2	0.27	13.9	13.9	0.03
Kyle Weaver	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	-2	-13	15.3	15.5	-0.25	13.8	14.4	-0.68

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	83	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-4	25	13.6	15.7	-2.17	15.9	12.4	3.53
Luc Mbah a Moute	65	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-2	21	14.2	13.4	0.76	16.9	12.3	4.59
Richard Jefferson	77	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.00	15	2	13	13.6	14.9	-1.28	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Ramon Sessions	48	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	5	7	14.2	13.6	0.61	16.5	14.1	2.40
Dan Gadzuric	40	39	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.05	13	4	9	13.9	13.9	0.09	16.8	14.4	2.45
Charlie Villanueva	58	60	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	13	-9	13.9	13.9	-0.09	14.4	16.8	-2.45
Joe Alexander	42	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	14	-11	13.3	14.3	-0.99	13.7	16.5	-2.78
Keith Bogans	24	25	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	15	-13	14.7	13.6	1.13	14.6	15.6	-1.03
Damon Jones	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	14.3	13.8	0.44	13.1	15.7	-2.67
Charlie Bell	38	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	16	-15	14.3	13.6	0.64	13.4	16.6	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
ORL 66, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
HOU 85, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%