NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	6.5 [539]		MVP	Leon Powe (BOS): +20.1%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	1.0 [554]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (BOS): -18.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	12	78%	0.17	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	11	58%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	66%	0.14	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.05
Lynn Greer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.13	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	16	60%	0.16	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.00
Jared Reiner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Noel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.09	-0.02	12	69%	0.22	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.05	-0.00	16	60%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	48%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Kevinn Pinkney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	10	32%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	9	47%	0.01	6	-0.19	1	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.18	-0.18	-0.03	-0.16	-0.01	8	37%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	29.4	17.4	26.8	2.0	34.4	136.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +60.1%

BOS -0.9%

BOS -21.9%

MIL +8.5%

MIL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.0	16.8	15.4	111.8	108.5	104.5
season	15.2	15.5		105.3	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.9	12.6	12.0	17.1	14.0
BOS	18.5	16.2	15.7	17.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Bell	84	85	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.38	13	-11	24	13.6	17.3	-3.74	17.1	14.3	2.76
Dan Gadzuric	79	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-7	16	13.4	16.9	-3.50	16.9	16.5	0.35
Earl Boykins	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	6	-10	13.7	14.8	-1.10	16.3	18.1	-1.80
Lynn Greer	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.36	-2	4	-6	14.7	13.3	1.38	16.7	17.0	-0.35
Ruben Patterson	65	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	-1	4	14.3	13.2	1.06	17.3	15.8	1.45
Ersan Ilyasova	39	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	1	0	14.3	13.7	0.65	17.7	16.2	1.51
David Noel	46	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.12	-6	8	-14	13.8	14.1	-0.35	15.4	18.2	-2.77
Jared Reiner	17	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	12	-22	14.8	13.8	0.99	15.7	17.1	-1.44

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevinn Pinkney	34	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-11	20	16.0	17.3	-1.25	14.6	13.6	1.04
Leon Powe	47	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.48	12	-14	26	15.9	17.7	-1.79	14.6	13.3	1.33
Sebastian Telfair	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.43	9	-11	20	16.0	17.5	-1.43	15.0	13.1	1.95
Gerald Green	73	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.40	4	-6	10	17.0	16.3	0.70	14.6	12.0	2.56
Allan Ray	47	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-5	8	16.8	16.9	-0.09	14.5	13.4	1.16
Delonte West	68	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	6	-14	16.7	17.2	-0.50	13.1	16.7	-3.58
Rajon Rondo	54	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	9	-20	17.2	16.3	0.88	13.1	15.0	-1.95
Ryan Gomes	48	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	14	-30	17.5	16.1	1.37	13.1	14.9	-1.85
Kendrick Perkins	58	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	10	-22	17.7	15.4	2.25	13.6	14.5	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.09,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
NJN 91, TOR 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.08,0.1,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
MIA 91, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.1,0	93.3%