inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 123 Excitement12.2 [17] MVPMorris Peterson (TOR): +46.3%
Washington Wizards 118 Comeback180.8 [7] LVPCaron Butler (WAS): -18.9%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Morris Peterson0.460,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.460.040.420.001150%0.4600.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh0.220,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.220.090.130.002464%0.415-0.191070%-0.01
Juan Dixon0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.220.070.14-0.001457%0.2200.002100%0.05
Joey Graham0.120,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.020.021073%0.1200.002100%0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.03-0.00467%0.0800.0010%-0.02
Anthony Parker0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05-0.030.120.041050%0.153-0.106100%0.02
Kris Humphries-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00475%0.103-0.1600%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.010.00517%-0.041-0.032100%0.04
T.J. Ford-0.170,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.07-0.090.002248%0.035-0.20475%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.310.310.030.290.012945%0.3100.001776%0.12
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.090.070.01775%0.1600.002100%0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.070.002100%0.1100.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.020.002112%0.131-0.034100%0.03
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.03-0.02750%0.0100.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11-0.110.00-0.12-0.011847%0.042-0.15450%-0.06
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.070.001640%-0.102-0.06862%-0.02
Caron Butler0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.22,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.04-0.130.021542%-0.141-0.051070%-0.16
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.32.427.415.426.62.349.82.817.2166.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +127.3%
WAS -22.0%
WAS -28.4%
WAS -34.3%
TOR +7.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORWASNBATORWASNBA
this game14.513.415.4108.8102.6104.5
season15.214.8104.7107.8
opponent15.315.4108.7104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR13.316.816.111.616.114.5
WAS13.915.211.613.213.913.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juan Dixon77790.68-0.180.860.3910-51514.414.7-0.4013.413.40.01
Anthony Parker85870.54-0.040.570.337-2913.816.4-2.5513.114.3-1.18
Morris Peterson570.490.010.480.374132.815.0-12.223.614.1-10.49
Chris Bosh1001010.440.060.370.3823-114.613.51.1513.314.6-1.30
Jose Calderon39380.430.070.360.3432114.014.7-0.7313.913.20.70
Rasho Nesterovic60600.250.25-0.000.2214-315.213.61.6513.313.5-0.16
Kris Humphries4241-0.070.57-0.64-0.0705-515.513.91.6315.012.52.48
Joey Graham8385-0.330.83-1.16-0.21-49-1314.713.80.8814.011.82.20
T.J. Ford6467-0.430.93-1.36-0.34-38-1114.514.40.0913.113.9-0.81

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarvis Hayes32320.11-0.610.720.23-4-1-314.313.11.2314.714.40.29
Antawn Jamison87860.07-0.570.63-0.4016-213712.915.0-2.0315.610.94.72
Etan Thomas2422-0.03-0.470.450.18-72-917.212.44.7313.814.6-0.88
Calvin Booth11-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-4318.013.44.615.014.6-9.56
Roger Mason Jr.11-0.05-0.450.41-0.02-1-431.013.5-12.543.014.6-11.58
Brendan Haywood2726-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-1-313.513.40.0714.514.5-0.02
Darius Songaila4745-0.17-0.330.16-0.02-50-514.712.62.0915.413.91.53
Michael Ruffin5559-0.22-0.280.05-0.344-91312.114.7-2.5915.113.81.27
DeShawn Stevenson7573-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.34-1-4312.515.1-2.5313.815.6-1.81
Antonio Daniels3837-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.32-3-2-114.013.20.8214.114.7-0.55
Gilbert Arenas9694-0.590.09-0.69-0.36-83-1113.115.3-2.2614.116.3-2.21
Caron Butler9289-0.730.23-0.96-0.41-116-1713.712.21.5713.916.5-2.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.71,0.77,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.28,0.15,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 114, ORL 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.55,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.19,090.5%
GSW 103, UTA 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.67,0.86,0.78,0.43,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.15,0,089.4%
BOS 122, IND 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.16,089.1%