inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 109 Excitement11.4 [29] MVPRasheed Wallace (DET): +56.0%
Detroit Pistons 113 Comeback262.2 [8] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -31.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcus Camby0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.280.090.210.011563%0.332-0.048100%0.07
Nene0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.23,0.230.100.130.001368%0.332-0.105100%0.06
J.R. Smith0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.090.13-0.04-0.001570%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Reggie Evans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Linas Kleiza-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.080.04-0.080.04960%-0.041-0.042100%0.01
Allen Iverson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.1,-0.08-0.10-0.03-0.041443%0.175-0.26956%-0.03
Steve Blake-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.0160%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.310,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.15-0.18-0.021932%-0.233-0.08250%-0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.560.560.030.52-0.001556%0.773-0.21989%0.05
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.090.090.040.04-0.011359%0.122-0.04875%-0.09
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.03-0.051558%0.112-0.053100%0.03
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.030.014100%0.071-0.0600%0.00
Nazr Mohammed00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dale Davis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.014100%0.096-0.172100%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.12-0.120.11-0.210.012361%0.113-0.231090%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.02.028.316.325.42.541.01.617.4159.4
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.01.917.4141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +51.9%
DET +12.3%
DET +1.2%
DEN -21.3%
DET +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDETNBADENDETNBA
this game14.416.215.4103.8109.7104.5
season14.016.8105.8106.1
opponent15.715.3101.7104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN16.811.514.914.613.614.4
DET15.119.816.414.813.616.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
J.R. Smith62590.04-0.540.59-0.229-132213.815.3-1.5016.016.4-0.40
Linas Kleiza4545-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-6814.414.4-0.0215.916.5-0.60
Reggie Evans1415-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-2017.613.93.7517.815.91.87
Nene9290-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.321-5614.215.5-1.2216.812.14.72
Marcus Camby8380-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.15-73-1014.713.41.2415.618.3-2.65
Allen Iverson8786-0.500.00-0.51-0.18-117-1814.912.02.8916.017.4-1.38
Steve Blake5150-0.510.01-0.53-0.34-62-814.314.5-0.2316.815.61.16
Carmelo Anthony9190-0.710.21-0.91-0.53-62-813.818.1-4.2516.017.4-1.35

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups92950.94-0.441.370.4118-143215.819.5-3.6414.99.75.18
Tayshaun Prince88910.62-0.120.730.2612-82015.520.1-4.6014.712.32.43
Antonio McDyess77780.56-0.060.620.5313-215.717.7-1.9914.015.4-1.42
Rasheed Wallace66660.390.110.290.197-31016.116.4-0.2715.113.31.80
Ronald Murray88910.300.200.100.2713-215.818.3-2.4913.818.0-4.16
Jason Maxiell46500.130.37-0.24-0.149-51416.316.20.1015.613.32.35
Nazr Mohammed44-0.070.57-0.640.05-48-1221.016.04.994.214.8-10.54
Dale Davis1110-0.110.61-0.710.07-610-1620.915.65.2713.114.5-1.43
Carlos Delfino2625-0.120.62-0.730.12-812-2018.015.62.4513.414.7-1.25
Lindsey Hunter1715-0.140.64-0.790.15-1014-2419.215.63.5612.714.7-2.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.68,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.3,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.54,0.55,0.28,0.24,0.17,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 107, SAS 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.42,186.3%
PHX 115, GSW 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.67,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.14,0.02,0.03,0.08,085.8%
LAL 110, POR 1130.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.42,185.0%