inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 91 Excitement7.1 [434] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +24.8%
San Antonio Spurs 85 Comeback2.6 [159] LVPBruce Bowen (SAS): -34.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.250,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.250.090.210.052156%0.272-0.031267%-0.02
Gerald Green0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.150.020.130.001100%0.1500.0000%0.00
Leon Powe0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Michael Olowokandi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.02757%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Delonte West-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.020.08-0.090.011855%-0.001-0.01683%-0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.02350%0.024-0.072100%0.01
Al Jefferson-0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.07-0.051851%0.045-0.11367%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.02617%-0.081-0.0300%0.00
Allan Ray-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.07-0.0130%-0.111-0.0200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.010.010.16-0.090.061471%0.172-0.1614100%0.08
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01433%0.0000.001100%0.01
Jacque Vaughn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.050.011448%0.124-0.151457%-0.11
Fabricio Oberto0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.01743%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.01-0.070.011048%-0.0700.001100%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14-0.14-0.06-0.09-0.00840%-0.102-0.054100%0.02
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.34-0.34-0.11-0.24-0.01812%-0.181-0.1600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.735.014.829.02.542.2152.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +61.5%
SAS -16.4%
SAS -23.8%
BOS +19.7%
BOS +9.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSSASNBABOSSASNBA
this game15.914.515.494.891.4104.5
season15.516.2101.7107.5
opponent15.415.398.9105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.316.313.917.415.9
SAS15.714.214.313.914.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Jefferson85810.68-0.180.870.2116-102616.114.21.9614.812.81.96
Paul Pierce76750.55-0.050.610.1115-92415.915.80.0815.112.22.94
Gerald Green27250.55-0.050.590.66-410-1416.215.80.3713.814.8-0.95
Delonte West91880.440.060.370.3242215.719.8-4.1014.97.67.33
Michael Olowokandi46430.150.35-0.200.0342216.315.50.7915.014.10.90
Allan Ray43420.120.38-0.260.44-1117-2816.415.50.8713.415.5-2.02
Kendrick Perkins35350.120.38-0.260.0624-214.816.6-1.7613.615.1-1.50
Rajon Rondo68660.000.50-0.49-0.3211-51616.015.70.2414.414.9-0.44
Leon Powe910-0.120.62-0.740.09-713-2014.416.1-1.6213.214.7-1.50

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Beno Udrih16150.12-0.620.75-0.025-111613.114.8-1.7116.715.80.89
Matt Bonner13120.03-0.530.57-0.084-101413.514.7-1.1614.516.1-1.62
Jacque Vaughn912-0.11-0.390.270.03-5-1-410.814.9-4.1616.115.90.19
Robert Horry1113-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-1-414.114.6-0.5115.716.0-0.26
Brent Barry2729-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-2-214.914.40.4414.716.5-1.81
Michael Finley6164-0.16-0.340.18-0.429-152413.616.3-2.7116.714.42.31
Manu Ginobili6771-0.23-0.270.04-0.385-111614.215.5-1.3416.215.20.91
Fabricio Oberto2935-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-104-1415.514.11.4215.616.1-0.54
Francisco Elson2725-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-71-814.514.5-0.0315.216.2-0.91
Bruce Bowen5250-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.15-82-1015.113.81.3116.115.80.30
Tim Duncan7778-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.24-60-614.912.72.1616.115.11.06
Tony Parker7676-0.550.05-0.61-0.32-82-1015.310.94.4015.716.7-1.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.6,0.69,0.45,0.43,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 96, SAS 910.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.45,0.33,0.09,091.3%
NYK 80, ORL 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,090.7%
SAS 99, DET 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.42,090.1%