NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	8.0 [268]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +52.0%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	4.5 [791]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -13.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27	0.18	0.14	0.05	20	69%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Al Jefferson	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	11	69%	0.29	2	-0.09	7	57%	-0.02
Gerald Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	20	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	12	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Rajon Rondo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.35,0.35,0.52	0.52	0.12	0.41	0.00	18	61%	0.59	2	-0.07	13	92%	0.13
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.09	0.01	9	48%	0.14	1	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	53%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.13	-0.08	0.02	19	65%	0.19	3	-0.15	8	100%	0.05
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.05	0.02	13	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	29.2	16.5	25.2	2.5	37.4	138.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +15.9%

DAL +26.2%

DAL +17.3%

BOS -7.6%

BOS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.4	109.8	116.5	104.5
season	15.5	16.3		101.7	108.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.3	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.7	15.7	18.0	14.8	15.8
DAL	16.0	17.0	14.6	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	23	23	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.01	11	-16	27	15.1	16.0	-0.86	16.4	15.5	0.98
Michael Olowokandi	6	5	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-8	11	16.7	15.7	0.96	12.8	15.9	-3.07
Kendrick Perkins	53	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	0	-5	16.2	15.2	0.98	15.9	15.5	0.38
Leon Powe	37	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-4	3	16.9	15.0	1.96	15.6	15.8	-0.26
Paul Pierce	61	59	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-6	7	14.9	17.5	-2.63	16.2	14.8	1.33
Rajon Rondo	27	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	7	-19	17.1	15.2	1.90	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Allan Ray	43	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.42	1	-6	7	14.6	16.8	-2.23	15.7	15.7	-0.10
Al Jefferson	70	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	1	-7	16.3	14.0	2.39	16.0	14.7	1.29
Gerald Green	60	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	1	-7	15.4	16.4	-1.02	15.4	16.3	-0.94
Delonte West	80	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	6	-17	15.7	16.2	-0.55	15.5	16.7	-1.15

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	70	71	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-8	21	15.9	14.9	1.04	15.9	15.4	0.51
Josh Howard	70	72	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-3	11	15.6	16.2	-0.63	15.8	15.6	0.22
Jason Terry	73	73	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-6	17	16.0	14.6	1.43	15.1	18.3	-3.21
Jerry Stackhouse	62	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	15.0	17.3	-2.31	15.7	16.0	-0.33
DeSagana Diop	51	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	5	-5	15.5	15.9	-0.44	15.5	16.1	-0.66
Devin Harris	53	54	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	9	-13	16.1	15.2	0.94	16.6	14.6	1.99
Erick Dampier	36	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	16.2	15.3	0.90	16.8	15.0	1.86
Jose Juan Barea	11	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	4	-3	13.6	16.0	-2.35	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Maurice Ager	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	8	-11	19.1	15.4	3.75	14.6	15.9	-1.26
Austin Croshere	21	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	13	-21	14.9	15.9	-1.04	15.4	15.9	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.78,0.54,0.78,0.85,0.64,0.86,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.73,1	92.1%
SAS 75, SAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.85,1	91.6%
NYK 105, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.39,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.73,1	91.5%