NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	88		Excitement	8.8 [154]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +37.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	4.3 [247]		LVP	Joe Smith (PHI): -21.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.21	0.01	0.19	-0.01	14	50%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.11	-0.00	6	83%	0.21	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	8	64%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Deron Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.08,0.01,0.13,-0.09	0.08	-0.16	0.01	12	69%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	8	42%	0.00	5	-0.14	3	0%	-0.05
Mehmet Okur	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	18	41%	-0.09	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.38	0.38	-0.05	0.43	-0.00	9	43%	0.56	2	-0.18	3	100%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	7	81%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	11	73%	0.15	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.09	0.10	-0.00	23	45%	0.13	5	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	39%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.17	-0.01	10	30%	-0.21	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	31.6	14.8	28.2	2.5	32.5	133.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +28.0%

PHI +13.9%

PHI +5.9%

UTA -2.9%

PHI +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHI	NBA	UTA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.4	97.8	97.8	104.5
season	15.9	15.5		107.4	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		105.2	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.5	14.3	14.9	18.1	16.0
PHI	16.8	13.4	15.7	17.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	46	45	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-11	21	17.0	15.0	1.95	16.6	15.0	1.67
Jarron Collins	10	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	1	-3	15.8	16.1	-0.28	17.0	15.6	1.37
Paul Millsap	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	3	-7	16.5	15.7	0.77	14.4	16.9	-2.53
Matt Harpring	53	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-10	19	16.4	15.6	0.76	15.2	16.6	-1.37
Carlos Boozer	48	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-6	11	16.1	16.0	0.04	17.4	13.8	3.55
Andrei Kirilenko	48	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	12	-25	15.4	16.8	-1.48	15.1	16.6	-1.56
Deron Williams	79	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	0	-1	15.6	18.9	-3.26	16.1	13.6	2.44
Mehmet Okur	76	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	0	-1	16.1	15.6	0.56	15.4	17.9	-2.54
Derek Fisher	49	50	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	7	-15	15.7	16.5	-0.81	15.8	15.8	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	36	37	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.71	-1	2	-3	15.5	16.0	-0.51	14.8	16.9	-2.09
Andre Miller	71	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	-3	7	15.6	16.3	-0.73	15.8	17.1	-1.34
Samuel Dalembert	75	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-4	9	16.3	13.6	2.69	16.4	14.6	1.80
Andre Iguodala	85	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	-1	3	15.7	17.3	-1.66	16.0	16.6	-0.57
Willie Green	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	-6	13	17.1	14.7	2.35	15.4	16.5	-1.07
Kyle Korver	57	57	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.45	-7	8	-15	15.0	17.1	-2.04	16.5	15.2	1.31
Lou Williams	20	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	4	-7	16.3	15.6	0.73	17.1	15.8	1.34
Steven Hunter	71	70	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.12	-2	3	-5	15.4	17.0	-1.56	16.3	15.0	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 85, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.78,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.6,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.45,0.58,1	91.6%
CHI 73, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.76,0.58,1	91.3%
HOU 82, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.66,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.58,1	91.2%