NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	7.2 [364]		MVP	Terence Morris (HOU): +23.7%
San Antonio Spurs	87		Comeback	2.2 [624]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -31.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terence Morris	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.16	0.08	0.00	7	107%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	7	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.01,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	9	56%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	7	19%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.23	-0.06	-0.01	12	15%	-0.18	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.31	-0.12	-0.21	-0.02	21	36%	-0.24	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	78%	0.12	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.24,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.11	0.00	21	60%	0.12	2	-0.18	11	91%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	12	41%	0.00	5	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	10	32%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	0.8	25.3	16.7	27.1	2.4	30.6	126.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.2%

SAS +28.4%

HOU -9.3%

HOU -9.6%

SAS +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	93.2	100.0	101.6
season	16.3	15.7		101.7	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		96.9	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	16.0	16.7	16.8	16.5
SAS	14.8	16.0	15.3	20.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	41	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-13	21	16.5	16.5	-0.00	18.1	15.0	3.07
Terence Morris	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-9	13	16.8	16.2	0.60	17.9	15.4	2.50
Kelvin Cato	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-10	15	15.9	17.0	-1.05	17.4	15.6	1.76
Moochie Norris	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-9	13	16.4	16.6	-0.21	17.9	15.1	2.86
Eddie Griffin	31	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	4	-13	16.3	16.6	-0.27	14.9	17.3	-2.40
Yao Ming	45	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	5	-15	17.0	15.9	1.05	15.6	17.4	-1.76
James Posey	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	6	-17	16.4	16.6	-0.27	15.3	18.3	-2.94
Steve Francis	60	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	6	-17	16.5	16.4	0.16	15.2	19.0	-3.78
Cuttino Mobley	88	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	16.5	0.0	16.47	16.4	0.0	16.45

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	69	69	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.33	16	-11	27	15.3	20.7	-5.39	15.9	18.7	-2.83
Stephen Jackson	58	58	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-8	21	16.1	17.1	-0.93	16.3	16.7	-0.41
Bruce Bowen	66	66	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.36	12	-7	19	15.8	18.5	-2.67	16.2	17.3	-1.08
Tim Duncan	77	79	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-6	17	16.2	18.4	-2.21	16.6	15.7	0.89
David Robinson	60	59	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	3	-1	16.6	16.1	0.49	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Kevin Willis	8	9	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	5	-5	16.4	16.5	-0.08	18.6	16.2	2.33
Malik Rose	29	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	8	-11	16.8	16.3	0.57	15.9	16.7	-0.85
Manu Ginobili	21	22	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.00	-7	12	-19	18.5	15.8	2.67	17.3	16.2	1.08
Steven Smith	29	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	13	-21	17.1	16.1	0.93	16.7	16.3	0.41
Steve Kerr	18	19	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.03	-11	16	-27	20.7	15.3	5.39	18.7	15.9	2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.66,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 100, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.46,0.77,0.58,1	92.0%
NYK 81, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.42,1	91.8%
WAS 107, MEM 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.88,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.58,1	91.4%