NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Excitement	11.7 [27]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +70.0%
Boston Celtics	124		Comeback	5.9 [217]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -15.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.70	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.7	0.23	0.42	-0.05	20	74%	0.75	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.08
Kevin Garnett	0.32	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.05,0.28,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.32,0.32	0.11	0.23	0.02	28	54%	0.34	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.03
Troy Hudson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	15	74%	0.48	3	-0.34	5	100%	0.06
Mark Blount	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	0.01	7	75%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Justin Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Craig Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	4	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashad McCants	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.62	0.62	0.18	0.44	-0.00	13	77%	0.74	3	-0.12	14	86%	0.13
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.06	0.23	0.01	15	57%	0.32	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.15
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	11	70%	0.21	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	12	55%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	21	50%	0.12	6	-0.28	12	83%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	21.9	2.6	33.0	15.5	23.4	2.5	37.3	1.6	23.0	1.6	15.3	177.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -35.4%

BOS +26.5%

BOS +69.8%

BOS +2.3%

MIN -13.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	BOS	NBA	MIN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.4	111.4	111.7	104.5
season	15.4	15.5		101.9	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.6		105.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	16.9	14.9	14.0	16.8	17.2	15.9
BOS	17.4	16.3	18.6	15.9	12.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	62	65	0.38	-0.88	1.25	0.05	11	-18	29	15.5	16.6	-1.18	18.9	12.6	6.27
Troy Hudson	72	76	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.07	12	-19	31	16.4	15.0	1.36	17.0	14.7	2.24
Justin Reed	4	5	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-9	11	12.7	16.1	-3.31	11.0	16.5	-5.53
Trenton Hassell	1	3	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-7	7	23.0	15.9	7.13	21.0	16.1	4.85
Mike James	28	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-4	1	15.6	16.0	-0.40	14.9	16.8	-1.94
Randy Foye	10	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-1	-5	15.0	16.0	-1.03	17.4	16.2	1.20
Rashad McCants	49	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	1	-9	16.2	15.7	0.47	16.4	16.1	0.28
Craig Smith	44	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	5	-17	15.9	15.9	-0.00	15.0	17.3	-2.29
Marko Jaric	35	35	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	15.3	16.3	-1.01	17.2	15.8	1.39
Kevin Garnett	92	97	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-3	-1	16.3	13.0	3.35	15.7	20.1	-4.42
Ricky Davis	97	102	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	2	-11	15.6	19.4	-3.73	16.5	14.3	2.12

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	96	91	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.76	6	1	5	16.2	16.8	-0.60	16.1	15.0	1.08
Ryan Gomes	101	96	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.26	13	-6	19	15.8	21.3	-5.52	16.0	14.9	1.14
Delonte West	86	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	6	-5	16.1	17.0	-0.98	15.9	16.1	-0.19
Paul Pierce	97	92	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	5	-3	16.2	17.1	-0.91	16.0	15.4	0.63
Gerald Green	62	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	0	7	15.3	17.5	-2.24	16.1	15.7	0.38
Leon Powe	13	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	2	3	18.4	16.0	2.38	15.4	16.0	-0.63
Rajon Rondo	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	1	5	17.0	16.1	0.98	16.1	15.9	0.19
Brian Scalabrine	36	33	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.10	1	6	-5	15.0	16.9	-1.93	15.8	16.0	-0.17
Kendrick Perkins	39	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.06	-6	13	-19	20.1	14.2	5.93	15.2	16.4	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.63,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.61,0.37,0.85,0.98,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.33,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.29,0.45,0.61,0.46,0.76,0.91,1	86.1%
IND 80, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.95,1	85.9%
ATL 117, NYK 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.13,0.22,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.53,0.85,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.58,1	85.6%