NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	14.3 [6]		MVP	Qyntel Woods (NYK): +49.2%
New York Knicks	121		Comeback	8.6 [264]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -19.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	-0.01	0.18	-0.02	9	43%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.06
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.04	-0.01	17	60%	0.17	3	-0.14	9	89%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	45%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.07
Donta Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Esteban Batista	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	8%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Al Harrington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.16	-0.01	-0.14	0.01	16	70%	0.29	9	-0.45	8	87%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.04,-0.2	0.07	-0.28	-0.01	27	61%	0.17	6	-0.37	5	80%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.18	0.32	0.00	8	106%	0.54	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.07	0.23	-0.00	13	56%	0.36	1	-0.06	6	50%	-0.11
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	11	61%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	45%	0.07	1	-0.12	3	33%	-0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.13,0.13,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	-0.00	11	58%	0.11	3	-0.17	14	64%	-0.17
Malik Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	10	40%	-0.07
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	5	60%	0.01	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.2,-0.2,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-0.17	0.02	1	100%	0.15	2	-0.32	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.3	2.7	35.8	16.8	31.1	2.5	37.3	1.7	15.8	1.7	18.0	189.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +54.6%

ATL -2.1%

NYK +0.3%

NYK +3.3%

ATL -6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.6	101.7	103.4	104.4
season	15.6	15.7		103.9	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		108.7	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	14.3	13.8	13.3	17.3	17.5	14.8
NYK	16.3	17.0	14.4	13.5	16.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	97	99	0.38	-0.88	1.25	0.08	10	-14	24	15.4	12.7	2.68	15.7	11.4	4.29
Royal Ivey	49	52	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.22	1	-5	6	15.0	14.9	0.10	15.7	14.5	1.18
Esteban Batista	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	11.6	15.4	-3.80	12.0	15.4	-3.43
Salim Stoudamire	58	59	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	5	-14	15.6	14.4	1.15	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Al Harrington	86	88	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.60	12	-16	28	15.2	14.4	0.76	15.3	14.1	1.26
Joe Johnson	113	114	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-4	4	14.9	19.5	-4.60	15.2	7.3	7.89
Josh Smith	79	84	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-1	-2	15.0	15.0	0.02	15.5	13.8	1.71
Donta Smith	14	11	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.56	-6	2	-8	12.4	15.3	-2.99	9.0	15.6	-6.64
Marvin Williams	66	64	-1.01	0.51	-1.51	-0.36	-22	18	-40	14.9	15.1	-0.14	14.2	16.0	-1.80

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	56	55	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.49	11	-7	18	14.1	15.9	-1.75	16.5	13.6	2.93
Jamal Crawford	71	68	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.45	6	-2	8	14.3	16.1	-1.83	15.9	13.7	2.20
Jackie Butler	32	30	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-2	8	14.1	15.4	-1.27	17.0	14.3	2.73
David Lee	58	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-2	8	13.2	16.8	-3.52	15.7	14.3	1.39
Jerome James	29	26	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.10	18	-14	32	12.6	15.8	-3.19	16.3	14.6	1.66
Qyntel Woods	51	49	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-6	16	14.2	15.7	-1.52	16.5	13.9	2.59
Channing Frye	32	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	4	-4	15.3	14.9	0.36	13.5	15.6	-2.02
Steve Francis	46	46	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.08	-2	6	-8	16.1	14.3	1.83	13.8	15.8	-1.93
Eddy Curry	45	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.08	-10	14	-24	17.7	13.3	4.34	14.2	15.5	-1.32
Stephon Marbury	61	61	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	11	-18	15.9	14.1	1.75	13.5	16.7	-3.21
Malik Rose	38	38	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.01	-12	16	-28	16.9	14.1	2.86	13.7	15.6	-1.98
Jalen Rose	56	55	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.09	-10	14	-24	16.4	13.8	2.57	13.4	16.5	-3.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.13,0.22,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.53,0.85,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.92,1	87.3%
PHX 95, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.73,1	86.7%
NJN 87, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.73,1	86.7%